Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 21 2005

  US 3Q GDP Revised Slightly Lower

  US real GDP growth for 3Q was revised down slightly to 4.1% (AR) and fell short of Consensus expectations for no change to earlier estimate of 4.3% growth. A weakened estimate of domestic demand growth caused the downward revision. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 21 2005

  US 3Q GDP Revised Slightly Lower

  US real GDP growth for 3Q was revised down slightly to 4.1% (AR) and fell short of Consensus expectations for no change to earlier estimate of 4.3% growth. A weakened estimate of domestic demand growth caused the downward revision. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2005

  Chain Store Sales: The Holiday Spirit Found?

  Chain store sales rose 2.4% last week. The jump followed a 0.9% gain the prior period and thus recovered all of December's opening week skid of 3.1%, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2005

  Housing Starts Post Surprising Gain; Single Family At Record

  Housing starts surged 5.3% m/m in November. The gain to 2.123M units reversed most of the prior month's decline and beat Consensus expectations for a decline to 2.015M starts. A 4.8% gain in single-family starts returned the level to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2005

  PPI Down 0.7%, Core Tame

  The November Producer Price Index reversed the prior month's gain and fell 0.7%. The decline was the largest for any month since April 2003 andslightly exceeded Consensus expectations for a 0.5% drop. In a reverse of the prior month's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2005

  NAHB Housing Market Index: Down Hard Again

  The National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index fell again in December; by four points on top of a seven point November decline. The decline to 57 dropped the index to the lowest level since April 2003 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 20 2005

  PPI Down 0.7%, Core Tame

  The November Producer Price Index reversed the prior month's gain and fell 0.7%. The decline was the largest for any month since April 2003 andslightly exceeded Consensus expectations for a 0.5% drop. In a reverse of the prior month's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 19 2005

  ECRI Leading Index: Meandering Movement

  The weekly leading index of the US economy published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) fell 0.1% last week following a 0.1% gain the prior week. These muted changes underscore a pattern of sideways movement in the ECRI [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 19 2005

  ECRI Leading Index: Meandering Movement

  The weekly leading index of the US economy published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) fell 0.1% last week following a 0.1% gain the prior week. These muted changes underscore a pattern of sideways movement in the ECRI [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 16 2005

  Philadelphia Fed Business Activity Up a Bit

  The December Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector from the Philadelphia Fed rose slightly to 12.6 from 11.5 the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for improvement to 14.0. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 16 2005

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Improved Slightly

  The US current account deficit improved slightly last quarter to $195.8B but it was from a 2Q deficit that was revised deeper. Also lessening the economic significance of the improvement, it was entirely due to a narrower unilateral [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 16 2005

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Improved Slightly

  The US current account deficit improved slightly last quarter to $195.8B but it was from a 2Q deficit that was revised deeper. Also lessening the economic significance of the improvement, it was entirely due to a narrower unilateral [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief