Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 19 2005

  ECRI Leading Index: Meandering Movement

  The weekly leading index of the US economy published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) fell 0.1% last week following a 0.1% gain the prior week. These muted changes underscore a pattern of sideways movement in the ECRI [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 19 2005

  ECRI Leading Index: Meandering Movement

  The weekly leading index of the US economy published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) fell 0.1% last week following a 0.1% gain the prior week. These muted changes underscore a pattern of sideways movement in the ECRI [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 16 2005

  Philadelphia Fed Business Activity Up a Bit

  The December Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector from the Philadelphia Fed rose slightly to 12.6 from 11.5 the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for improvement to 14.0. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 16 2005

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Improved Slightly

  The US current account deficit improved slightly last quarter to $195.8B but it was from a 2Q deficit that was revised deeper. Also lessening the economic significance of the improvement, it was entirely due to a narrower unilateral [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 16 2005

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Improved Slightly

  The US current account deficit improved slightly last quarter to $195.8B but it was from a 2Q deficit that was revised deeper. Also lessening the economic significance of the improvement, it was entirely due to a narrower unilateral [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2005

  Empire State Index Rose Further

  The Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries rose further in December. The 5.92 point gain to 28.74 followed a 10.7 point increase last month. Consensus expectations had been for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2005

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Inched Up

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance inched up 1,000 to 329,000 last week following a little revised 7,000 increase the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 320,000 claims. Hurricane related claims dropped to 3,000 and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2005

  Industrial Output Up

  A surprising 4.8% jump in mining output pushed the gain in overall industrial output last month to 0.7% and that exceeded Consensus expectations for a 0.5% rise. Factory sector production rose a moderate 0.4% (4.1% y/y) on the heels [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2005

  CPI Decline Largest Since 1949; Core Inflation Steady

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) fell 0.6% last month, posting the largest m/m decline since a 0.8% drop in July of 1949. Sharply lower gasoline prices and tame "core" goods prices caused the figure to exceed Consensus expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 15 2005

  CPI Decline Largest Since 1949; Core Inflation Steady

  The consumer price index (CPI-U) fell 0.6% last month, posting the largest m/m decline since a 0.8% drop in July of 1949. Sharply lower gasoline prices and tame "core" goods prices caused the figure to exceed Consensus expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2005

  Mortgage Applications Plunged

  According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the total number of mortgage applications plunged last week by 5.7% and erased all of the prior weeks' gain. The drop lowered December 1.0% below November. Purchase applications reversed [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2005

  Import Prices Fell Broadly

  The 1.7% decline in import prices last month was three times expectations for a 0.5% drop. The main source of last month's price weakness was an 8.0% drop in petroleum prices. Crude oil prices fell 6.2% and "other" petroleum prices [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief