US retail sales rose 0.7% last month following an upwardly revised 0.8% increase in November. The increase, however, fell short of Consensus expectations for a 0.9% rise. In addition, sales less autos rose just half the expected 0.4% [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Jan 13 2006U.S. Retail Sales Light in December
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 12 2006
Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Lowest Since 2000
Initial claims for unemployment insurance increased 17,000 to 309,000 last week following a little revised 34,000 decline the week prior. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 12 2006
Import Prices Fell Again
The import prices fell 0.2% last month following the little revised 1.8% drop during November and contrasted with Consensus expectations for a 0.2% increase. Nonpetroleum again were weak and posted no change versus November. The [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 12 2006
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrowed as Oil Prices Fell
The U.S. foreign trade deficit in November narrowed to $64.2B from the record $68.1B the prior month which was revised slightly shallower from the initial estimate. Consensus expectations had been for a narrowing to $66.1B. Imports of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 12 2006
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrowed as Oil Prices Fell
The U.S. foreign trade deficit in November narrowed to $64.2B from the record $68.1B the prior month which was revised slightly shallower from the initial estimate. Consensus expectations had been for a narrowing to $66.1B. Imports of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 11 2006
Mortgage Applications Recovered
The total number of mortgage applications recovered 9.9% during the opening week of 2006 following four consecutive weeks of decline. The rise, however, was to a level up just 1.0% from the December average. Following four consecutive [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 11 2006
Mortgage Applications Recovered
The total number of mortgage applications recovered 9.9% during the opening week of 2006 following four consecutive weeks of decline. The rise, however, was to a level up just 1.0% from the December average. Following four consecutive [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 10 2006
Gold & Gasoline Prices Up
The rise yesterday in gold prices to $540 per ounce was to a level not attained in twenty five years. It underscored several concerns over the potential for future inflationary price pressure including 1) speculation of an end to Fed [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 10 2006
Small Business Optimism Up Slightly
The index of small business optimism from the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) in December recovered a marginal 0.2% of the prior month's 2.4% drop. For the fourth quarter as a whole, optimism did improve 1.4% from [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 10 2006
Chain Store Sales: A Firm Start to the New Year
Chain store sales rose a slight 0.1% to open the new year according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The up tick followed a 0.8% decline during the closing week of 2005. Solid increases earlier in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 10 2006
Chain Store Sales: A Firm Start to the New Year
Chain store sales rose a slight 0.1% to open the new year according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The up tick followed a 0.8% decline during the closing week of 2005. Solid increases earlier in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 09 2006
OECD Leaders Rose Broadly Amongst Member Countries
The 0.6% rise in the November Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies was the sixth consecutive monthly increase. The rise lifted the leaders' six month growth rate to 2.7%, the best since July 2004. During the last ten years [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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