Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 09 2006

  OECD Leaders Rose Broadly Amongst Member Countries

  The 0.6% rise in the November Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies was the sixth consecutive monthly increase. The rise lifted the leaders' six month growth rate to 2.7%, the best since July 2004. During the last ten years [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 09 2006

  OECD Leaders Rose Broadly Amongst Member Countries

  The 0.6% rise in the November Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies was the sixth consecutive monthly increase. The rise lifted the leaders' six month growth rate to 2.7%, the best since July 2004. During the last ten years [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2006

  Challenger Layoffs Up Again in December

  Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements in December rose for the fourth consecutive month. The 8.6% rise versus November to 107,822 pulled the three month average of job cut announcements up to 96,134 (-8.6% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2006

  Shortfall in U.S. Payrolls Offset By Upward Revision

  Non-farm payrolls in December grew just 108,000. Nevertheless, when averaged with a November increase revised up to 305,000 from 215,000 reported initially, the gain was a sharp improvement from the prior two months' average of just [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2006

  Shortfall in U.S. Payrolls Offset By Upward Revision

  Non-farm payrolls in December grew just 108,000. Nevertheless, when averaged with a November increase revised up to 305,000 from 215,000 reported initially, the gain was a sharp improvement from the prior two months' average of just [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2006

  Chain Store Sales Dipped

  Chain store sales dipped 0.8% during the final week of 2005 according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The decline, however, followed three weeks of solid increase. Therefore, December sales on [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2006

  ISM: Activity Outside the Factory Sector Recovered

  The Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector recovered in December about all that it lost in November. The 1.3 point gain to 59.8 followed an unrevised 1.5 point slip in November. A reading above 50 indicates [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2006

  Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Lowest Since 2000

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell a sharp 35,000 to 291,000 in the last week of 2005 following an upwardly revised 7,000 increase the prior period. The latest level was the lowest since September 2000. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2006

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Recovered at Yearend, Along With Gas Price

  The Autodata Corporation reported that December US sales of light vehicles rose 9.1% to 17.17M units. The gain added to a 6.7% m/m rise in November but the increases were from an October level that was the most depressed since 1998. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2006

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Recovered at Yearend, Along With Gas Price

  The Autodata Corporation reported that December US sales of light vehicles rose 9.1% to 17.17M units. The gain added to a 6.7% m/m rise in November but the increases were from an October level that was the most depressed since 1998. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2006

  Mortgage Apps Down With Fewer For Purchase, Delinquencies Up

  The total number of mortgage applications fell another 1.5% last week on top of the 6.8% drop the previous week. The decline rounded out 2005 when the average level fell 3.6% y/y after a nearly one third drop during 2004. Purchase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2006

  U.S. Factory Inventories and Backlogs Up

  November factory inventories rose 0.2% following an unrevised 0.6% gain in October. Less a 3.2% (+14.4% y/y) decline in petroleum, factory inventories rose 0.3% (3.3% y/y) and that y/y gain is nearly one third the rate of accumulation [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief