The index of small business optimism from the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) in December recovered a marginal 0.2% of the prior month's 2.4% drop. For the fourth quarter as a whole, optimism did improve 1.4% from [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Jan 10 2006Small Business Optimism Up Slightly
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 10 2006Chain Store Sales: A Firm Start to the New Year
Chain store sales rose a slight 0.1% to open the new year according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The up tick followed a 0.8% decline during the closing week of 2005. Solid increases earlier in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 10 2006Chain Store Sales: A Firm Start to the New Year
Chain store sales rose a slight 0.1% to open the new year according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The up tick followed a 0.8% decline during the closing week of 2005. Solid increases earlier in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 09 2006OECD Leaders Rose Broadly Amongst Member Countries
The 0.6% rise in the November Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies was the sixth consecutive monthly increase. The rise lifted the leaders' six month growth rate to 2.7%, the best since July 2004. During the last ten years [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 09 2006OECD Leaders Rose Broadly Amongst Member Countries
The 0.6% rise in the November Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies was the sixth consecutive monthly increase. The rise lifted the leaders' six month growth rate to 2.7%, the best since July 2004. During the last ten years [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 06 2006Challenger Layoffs Up Again in December
Challenger, Grey & Christmas reported that job cut announcements in December rose for the fourth consecutive month. The 8.6% rise versus November to 107,822 pulled the three month average of job cut announcements up to 96,134 (-8.6% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 06 2006Shortfall in U.S. Payrolls Offset By Upward Revision
Non-farm payrolls in December grew just 108,000. Nevertheless, when averaged with a November increase revised up to 305,000 from 215,000 reported initially, the gain was a sharp improvement from the prior two months' average of just [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 06 2006Shortfall in U.S. Payrolls Offset By Upward Revision
Non-farm payrolls in December grew just 108,000. Nevertheless, when averaged with a November increase revised up to 305,000 from 215,000 reported initially, the gain was a sharp improvement from the prior two months' average of just [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 05 2006Chain Store Sales Dipped
Chain store sales dipped 0.8% during the final week of 2005 according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The decline, however, followed three weeks of solid increase. Therefore, December sales on [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 05 2006ISM: Activity Outside the Factory Sector Recovered
The Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector recovered in December about all that it lost in November. The 1.3 point gain to 59.8 followed an unrevised 1.5 point slip in November. A reading above 50 indicates [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 05 2006Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Lowest Since 2000
Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell a sharp 35,000 to 291,000 in the last week of 2005 following an upwardly revised 7,000 increase the prior period. The latest level was the lowest since September 2000. Consensus [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jan 05 2006U.S. Vehicle Sales Recovered at Yearend, Along With Gas Price
The Autodata Corporation reported that December US sales of light vehicles rose 9.1% to 17.17M units. The gain added to a 6.7% m/m rise in November but the increases were from an October level that was the most depressed since 1998. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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