The Leading Index of the major 7 OECD economies rose 0.2% after a like gain during October but earlier month's increases were revised lower. The index's six month growth rate dropped to 1.1% from 1.6% as a result of the revisions. [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Jan 15 2007OECD Leaders Rose
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 12 2007
U.S. Inventory Accumulation Up A Bit
Total business inventories rose 0.4% in November following a downwardly revised 0.2% October gain. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.3% rise and over the last three months the 0.3% average increase was the slowest since [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 12 2007
U.S. Import Prices Jumped
Higher petroleum prices fueled a 1.1% jump in overall import prices last month which was about double Consensus expectations for a 0.6% gain. The increase occurred as petroleum import prices surged 4.8% in December after sharp [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 12 2007
U.S. Retail Sales Firm At Yearend Led By Electronics
US retail sales in December rose 0.9% though the sales gain during the prior month was lowered to 0.6% from 1.0% reported initially. The latest increase again easily beat Consensus expectations for a 0.6% rise. Excluding autos, retail [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 12 2007
U.S. Retail Sales Firm At Yearend Led By Electronics
US retail sales in December rose 0.9% though the sales gain during the prior month was lowered to 0.6% from 1.0% reported initially. The latest increase again easily beat Consensus expectations for a 0.6% rise. Excluding autos, retail [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 11 2007
MAPI Business Outlook Survey Fell Again
The 4Q '06 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI fell for the third straight quarter, to 54 from 64 in 3Q '06. The figure was the lowest since early 2002. During the last ten years there has been a 69% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 11 2007
Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Lowest Since July
Initial unemployment insurance claims last week reversed all of the increases over the prior three weeks and fell 26,000 to 299,000, the lowest level since July. Consensus expectations had been for a roughly unchanged figure at [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 11 2007
MAPI Business Outlook Survey Fell Again
The 4Q '06 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI fell for the third straight quarter, to 54 from 64 in 3Q '06. The figure was the lowest since early 2002. During the last ten years there has been a 69% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 10 2007
Mortgage Applications Surged
The total number of mortgage applications surged 16.6% last week, the strongest weekly increase since June 2005 according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Purchase applications jumped 16.2% and raised the level of applications in [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 10 2007
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrowed Unexpectedly
The U.S. foreign trade deficit narrowed unexpectedly in November to $58.2B from a little revised $58.8B during October. The deficit was the shallowest since July of last year and compared to Consensus expectations for a deficit of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 10 2007
U.S. Trade Deficit Narrowed Unexpectedly
The U.S. foreign trade deficit narrowed unexpectedly in November to $58.2B from a little revised $58.8B during October. The deficit was the shallowest since July of last year and compared to Consensus expectations for a deficit of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Jan 09 2007
Gasoline Prices Down Again
Unleaded gasoline prices at the pump fell three cents last week to an average $2.31 per gallon after a penny decline during the prior week. Nevertheless, the average price for gasoline in January is up to $2.32 from the December [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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