Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 14 2007

  U.S. PPI Above Forecasts; Weak Core Prices As Expected

  Finished producer prices rose 0.6% last month, twice the Consensus forecast for a 0.3% rise. That followed a 0.2% decline during June. The increase raised the y/y gain in prices to 3.9%, its highest in a year. The core finished goods [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 13 2007

  U.S. Inventory Accumulation Continued

  Total business inventories in June rose 0.4% following the unrevised 0.5% increase the month prior. Together, the increases raised the three month growth accumulation rate to 5.3%, its fastest since last Autumn. The June increase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 13 2007

  U.S. Budget Deepened in July

  The U.S. federal government in July posted a deficit of $36.3B versus a surplus of $27.5B during June and a deficit of $33.2B last July. The monthly figure was near Consensus expectations for a deficit of $35B. Analysts' forecasts of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 13 2007

  U.S. July Retail Sales Improved, June Revised Up

  U.S. retail sales in July rose 0.3% after a 0.7% decline in June that was revised slightly shallower versus the initial report. The July figure compared with Consensus expectations for a 0.1% decline. Excluding autos, retail sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2007

  U.S. Import Prices Boosted in July By Oil

  A jump in petroleum prices, last month by 7.0%, again was the strength behind a 1.5% surge in overall July import prices. The surge was the largest since March and was ahead of Consensus expectations for a 1.1% increase. An 8.2% (4.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 09 2007

  U.S. Claims for Jobless Insurance Exceed Expectations

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose again last week, to 316,000. The 7,000 w/w increase followed a 6,000 rise during the prior week that was revised up slightly. Consensus expectations had been for 310,000 claims in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 08 2007

  JOLTS: Job Openings Up, Hires Rate Down

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in the Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the June job openings rate increased slightly from the prior month to 3.0%, the highest level since January. The job openings rate is the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 08 2007

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Surge

  The total number of mortgage applications surged 8.1% last week following declines during the prior two weeks, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Strongest was a 9.1% gain in applications to refinance which rose after a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 07 2007

  Chain Store Sales Rebound, Strong

  Chain store sales last week rebounded a strong 1.1% after the 0.2% decline during the prior week, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 07 2007

  U.S. Productivity Missed 2Q Estimate, Cost Increase Fastest Since 2000

  Growth in non-farm labor productivity of 1.8% last quarter fell a bit short of Consensus forecasts for a 2.1% increase but it was the fastest since a 2.5% rise during 1Q06. The gain was up from the revised 0.7% increase during the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 06 2007

  Inflation Concerns are Forward Looking. Recent Trends Favorable

  For all of the concern about rising prices that recently has been expressed in Washington by the Federal Reserve Board, the most recent price trends are quite favorable. That's even excluding the recent decline in gasoline prices As [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 03 2007

  ISM Nonmanufacturing July Index Below Forecasts

  The non-manufacturing sector Business Activity Index for July fell back to 55.8 from an unrevised 60.7 during the prior month according to the Institute for Supply Management. Since the series' inception in 1997 there has been a 46% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief