Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 23 2007

  U.S. Loan Delinquencies Up Slightly, But Still Low

  For all the media hype regarding the "subprime" loan issuance problem, the latest data issued by the Federal Reserve Board for 2Q07 indicate only slight increases in delinquent payments on consumer, real estate and commercial & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 23 2007

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fell Slightly

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell slightly last week, back to the level initially reported for the prior period. Claims for the week ending 8/18 fell to 322,000 from 324,000 during the week ended 8/11. Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 21 2007

  U.S. Weekly Chain Store Sales Ticked Up, As Did Gasoline Prices

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey reported that chain store sales rose 0.2% last week after the 0.9% decline during the prior period. The average level of store sales, thus, so far in August is just even [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 20 2007

  Chicago Fed National Activity Index Negative, Again

  The National Activity Index (CFNAI) from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago fell back in July to -0.10 after a brief move into positive territory during the prior month. The Chicago Fed indicated that the production & income category [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 17 2007

  Michigan Consumer Sentiment Fell Sharply, Fed's Discount Rate Cut

  The University of Michigan's preliminary reading of consumer sentiment in August fell 7.9% m/m to 83.3. The decline was the largest m/m drop in over a year and, likewise, pulled the index to its lowest level since last August. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2007

  Philadelphia Fed Index Unexpectedly Steady

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector fell more than expected during August. The drop to 0.0 from 9.2 indicated that activity was "steady," but Consensus expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2007

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Rose Again

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose again last week. This third increase in as many weeks was to 322,000 from an unrevised 316,000 during the opening week of the month. The increase exceeded Consensus expectations for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 16 2007

  U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index Lowest Since 1991

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) fell hard this month to the lowest level since early 1991. At 22, for August, the index fell 8.3% from July after a 14.3% during that month. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 15 2007

  U.S. Empire State Index Slipped This Month

  The index of manufacturing activity in New York State for August slipped from its improve level of July & June. The Index of General Business Conditions fell 1.4 points after a 0.7 point rise in July. The figures are reported by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 15 2007

  U.S. Industrial Production Up Expected 0.3%

  Industrial production rose an expected 0.3% following an upwardly revised gain of 0.6% during June. Factory output surged another 0.6%, bringing the three month change in output to 1.2%, its best gain in about one year. Consumer goods [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 14 2007

  Weekly Chain Store Sales Fell Despite Lower Gas Prices

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey indicated that chain store sales fell 0.9% last week, the third weekly decline in the last four periods. The average level, thus, so far in August is up just 0.1% from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 14 2007

  U.S. Trade Deficit Narrowed

  In June, the U.S. foreign trade deficit narrowed to $59.2B from a revised $59.2B in May. Consensus expectations had been for a deeper deficit of $62.0B. Total exports jumped 1.5% after also surging 2.6% in May. The gain mostly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief