Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Apr 08 2008

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Rise Moderate, Gas Prices Rise Strong

  According to the International Council of Shopping Centers ICSC-UBS Chain Store survey, sales rose 0.7% last week and recovered the declines of the prior two weeks. The increase left the opening level of sales this month 0.5% higher [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 08 2008

  U.S. Chain Store Sales RiseModerate, Gas Prices Rise Strong

  According to the International Council of Shopping Centers ICSC-UBS Chain Store survey, sales rose 0.7% last week and recovered the declines of the prior two weeks. The increase left the opening level of sales this month 0.5% higher [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 07 2008

  U.S. Payrolls: Areas of Strength & Weakness

  The latest three month's employment data show that hiring momentum has turned negative. The 0.7% annual rate of decline in nonfarm payrolls through March is down from positive growth of 1.1% last year and of 1.8% during 2006. Is a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 07 2008

  U.S. Payrolls: Areas of Strength& Weakness

  The latest three month's employment data show that hiring momentum has turned negative. The 0.7% annual rate of decline in nonfarm payrolls through March is down from positive growth of 1.1% last year and of 1.8% during 2006. Is a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 04 2008

  U.S. Payrolls Down For Third Month, Unemployment Up

  For the third consecutive month the Bureau of Labor Statistic reported that nonfarm payrolls fell. The 80,000 worker decline in March was the largest of the three and the two prior months' declines were revised deeper from the initial [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 03 2008

  U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Improved Again

  The Institute for Supply Management reported that its Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector improved again in March to 52.2. That was up from 50.8 in February and from 41.9 in January. Consensus expectations had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 03 2008

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Rise Into Recession Zone?

  Initial unemployment insurance claims surged 38,000 last week to 407,000. A dip of 6,000 during the prior week was revised slightly from the 9,000 worker decline reported initially. The latest was near the highest level since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 03 2008

  U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Improved Again

  The Institute for Supply Management reported that its Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector improved again in March to 52.2. That was up from 50.8 in February and from 41.9 in January. Consensus expectations had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 02 2008

  U.S. Factory Inventory Rise Continued Firm

  Factory inventories rose 0.5% in February, down from the 1.3% surge during January. Despite the lesser rate of monthly gain, the three month growth in inventories jumped to 11.3% (AR) which was near its strongest since early 2005. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 02 2008

  Challenger Layoffs Down Last Month

  Job cut announcements in March fell to 53,579 from 72,091 during the prior month, according to the Challenger, Grey & Christmas survey. The three month average of announcements, however, has been stable since early last year. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 02 2008

  ADP Report: March Private Sector Payrolls Rose Slightly

  The ADP National Employment Report, from the payroll processor, reported that private nonfarm payrolls rose 8,000 last month after a slightly revised decline of 18,000 during February. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics employment [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Apr 02 2008

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Lowest Since 2005, Gasoline Price Up

  U.S. sales of light vehicles during March at a 15.11M unit annual selling rate were at the lowest level since October 2005 according to the Autodata Corporation. The 1.7% m/m decline from 15.38M followed an increase of just 0.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief