The composite index of leading economic indicators, reported by the Conference Board, increased 0.1% last month after an unrevised 0.1% uptick in March. Consensus expectations had been for no change in the April leaders and the latest [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| May 19 2008U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Again Up Slightly
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 16 2008Michigan Consumer Sentiment Lowest Since 1980
The preliminary May reading of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan fell another 5.0% m/m to a level of 59.5. The decline was larger than Consensus expectations for a reading of 62.0. The latest level was the lowest [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Housing starts rose unexpectedly during April to 1,032,000 units (AR), an increase of 8.2% following the March decline of 13.8% which was deeper than reported initially. The latest figure was firmer than Consensus expectations for [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Housing starts rose unexpectedly during April to 1,032,000 units (AR), an increase of 8.2% following the March decline of 13.8% which was deeper than reported initially. The latest figure was firmer than Consensus expectations for [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Housing starts rose unexpectedly during April to 1,032,000 units (AR), an increase of 8.2% following the March decline of 13.8% which was deeper than reported initially. The latest figure was firmer than Consensus expectations for [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 15 2008Philadelphia Fed Index Recovered, Expectations Up Sharply
The May Index of General Business conditions in the manufacturing sector, from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank, rose to -15.6 and reversed all of its deterioration in April. The latest was the highest level this year. The [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 15 2008U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Ticked Up
Initial claims for unemployment insurance last week ticked up a modest 6,000 to 371,000 following the prior week's little revised 17,000 rise. Consensus expectations had been for claims to total 370,000 last week. The four week moving [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 15 2008U.S. Industrial Output Fell Hard Last Month
Industrial production fell a sharp 0.7% last month after a little revised increase of 0.2% during March. The decline was close to the largest since September 2005 and it was more than double Consensus expectations for a 0.3% drop. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 15 2008U.S. Industrial Output Fell Hard Last Month
Industrial production fell a sharp 0.7% last month after a little revised increase of 0.2% during March. The decline was close to the largest since September 2005 and it was more than double Consensus expectations for a 0.3% drop. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 14 2008U.S. Small Business Optimism Recovered Slightly, Pricing Pressure Strong
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) reported that small business optimism during April gained back just more than half of its sharp drop in March. The 2.1% m/m increase to a reading of 91.5 followed a 3.6% March [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 14 2008U.S. Consumer Price Index Under Control in April
The consumer price index (CPI-U) rose 0.2% last month, down from the 0.3% March increase and less than the 0.3% rise that was generally expected. Year-to-year, prices rose 3.9% which was off the earlier highs of 4.4%. Less food & [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| May 14 2008U.S. Consumer Price Index Under Control in April
The consumer price index (CPI-U) rose 0.2% last month, down from the 0.3% March increase and less than the 0.3% rise that was generally expected. Year-to-year, prices rose 3.9% which was off the earlier highs of 4.4%. Less food & [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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