U.S. real GDP growth last quarter was little revised at -0.5% due to offsetting revisions to final demand growth (down) and inventories (up). The modest 0.5% (AR) decline compared to the advance report of a 0.3% dip and the revised [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Nov 25 2008Dip in U.S. 3Q'08 GDP Revised Little; Profits Fell (Again)
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 24 2008U.S. Existing Home Sales Slide Along Bottom, Prices Down 20%
During October, U.S. existing home sales reversed most of the prior month's rise and fell 3.1% to 4.980 million, according to the National Association of Realtors. The 3.1% decline followed a revised 4.7% September increase and it was [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 24 2008Chicago Fed Index Rose After Hurricanes
The October National Activity Index (CFNAI) from the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank improved last month after Hurricanes depressed economic activity during September. The index, however, remained in recession territory. The latest [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 24 2008Chicago Fed Index Rose After Hurricanes
The October National Activity Index (CFNAI) from the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank improved last month after Hurricanes depressed economic activity during September. The index, however, remained in recession territory. The latest [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 20 2008U.S. Leading Indicators Fell Again
The Conference Board indicated that the October composite index of leading economic indicators fell by 0.8% after rising a downwardly revised 0.1% during September. The peak for the index was in July of last year and the six-month [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 20 2008Philadelphia Fed Index Lowest Since 1990
The latest report from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank continued to paint a bleak picture of the U.S. economy. The bank reported that its November Index of General Business conditions in the manufacturing sector was even more [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 20 2008U.S. Claims For Jobless Insurance Highest Since 1992
Rising unemployment caused initial claims for jobless insurance to rise further above 500,000. At 542,000 claims reached their highest level since 1992. But even that comparison, as bad as it is, understates the current degree of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 20 2008U.S. Claims For Jobless Insurance Highest Since 1992
Rising unemployment caused initial claims for jobless insurance to rise further above 500,000. At 542,000 claims reached their highest level since 1992. But even that comparison, as bad as it is, understates the current degree of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 19 2008U.S. Housing Starts At Record Low in October
Housing starts fell to a record low last month. At 791,000 units (SAAR), the level was the lowest in the series' history which dates back to 1959. The 4.5% decline followed a revised 3.0% September drop that was slightly shallower [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 19 2008U.S. CPI Fell A Record 1.0% and Core Prices Declined As Well
The consumer price index (CPI-U) fell a record 1.0% last month versus September, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The decline followed a roughly unchanged figure and it about matched Consensus expectations for a 0.8% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 19 2008U.S. CPI Fell A Record 1.0% and Core Prices Declined As Well
The consumer price index (CPI-U) fell a record 1.0% last month versus September, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The decline followed a roughly unchanged figure and it about matched Consensus expectations for a 0.8% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 18 2008U.S. Home Builders' Survey Lower Still
The November Housing Market Index (HMI) from the National Association of Home Builders plumbed a new record low. At a single level of 9 nearly halved the old record low of 14 reached just last month. The index is compiled from survey [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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