Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 12 2008

  U.S. PPI Fell Again; Core Pricing Power Eased

  Last month U.S. finished producer prices fell 2.2%, about as they did during October when they were down 2.8%. Finished energy prices (-16.1% y/y) were down about as they were in October, by 11.2%. Gasoline prices led the decline with [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 12 2008

  U.S. Retail Sales Fell Again; Less Autos & Gasoline Sales Rose

  This morning the Commerce Department reported that retail sales fell for the fifth consecutive month. The 1.8% November decline followed declines during October and September that were slightly greater than reported initially. Lower [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 12 2008

  Michigan Consumer Sentiment Recovered Slightly

  The mid-December reading of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan recovered slightly from the the dismal November level. At 59.1 the figure was up 6.9% from November and it was the highest level since September. It still [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 11 2008

  U.S. Credit Borrowing Fell Further During 3Q

  After the sharp decline during the second quarter, the U.S. household and business sectors pulled back their borrowing further during 3Q. It was only the Federal government that kept the credit houses in business. Nongovernment [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 11 2008

  U.S. Weekly Claims For Jobless Insurance Highest Since 1982

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped last week. The 58,000 surge to 573,000 brought them to the highest level since November, 1982 when initial filings hit 612,000. This month claims are 8.9% higher than the November [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 11 2008

  U.S. Import Prices Down Sharply

  Total U.S. import prices declined another 6.7% last month after the revised 5.4% drop during October. Consensus expectations had been for a 4.8% November decline. Petroleum prices were off sharply again by 25.8% and this month [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 11 2008

  U.S. Trade Deficit Rose As Exports Fell

  The October U.S. foreign trade deficit rose unexpectedly. The modest rise to $57.2B from a little revised $56.6B during September contrasted with Consensus expectations for a narrowing to $53.5B. So far this year the monthly trade [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 11 2008

  U.S. Trade Deficit Rose As Exports Fell

  The October U.S. foreign trade deficit rose unexpectedly. The modest rise to $57.2B from a little revised $56.6B during September contrasted with Consensus expectations for a narrowing to $53.5B. So far this year the monthly trade [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 10 2008

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Fell Slightly Last Week

  According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the total number of mortgage applications fell a slight 7.1% last week. They had doubled during the prior week to take advantage of lower interest rates and the Fed's announcement that it [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 10 2008

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Fell

  The National Association of Realtors indicated that October pending sales of existing homes fell 0.7% m/m after September's 4.3% decline. Consensus expectations were for a greater 3.0% drop. Despite the two latest declines the level [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 10 2008

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Fell

  The National Association of Realtors indicated that October pending sales of existing homes fell 0.7% m/m after September's 4.3% decline. Consensus expectations were for a greater 3.0% drop. Despite the two latest declines the level [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 09 2008

  U.S. Chain Store Sales At 12-Month Low

  Chain store sales last week fell 0.8% after the 0.1% uptick during Thanksgiving week, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers-Goldman Sachs Index. The level of sales during the latest week was the lowest since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief