Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 01 2010

  U.S. Personal Income Remains Weak

  Overall personal income ticked up just 0.1% in January following downwardly revised increases during the prior two months. The latest weak increase disappointed Consensus expectations for a 0.4% rise. Declines spread through much of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 01 2010

  U.S. Personal Income Remains Weak

  Overall personal income ticked up just 0.1% in January following downwardly revised increases during the prior two months. The latest weak increase disappointed Consensus expectations for a 0.4% rise. Declines spread through much of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 26 2010

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Plummet As Prices Fall Sharply

  The National Association of Realtors reported that January sales of existing homes fell another 7.2% to 5.050M units (SAAR) after a little-revised 16.2% December decline. The decline may have been again influenced by the timing of a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 26 2010

  U.S. GDP 4Q Increase Made Stronger By Inventories

  Rebuilding of depleted inventories was more of a factor behind improvement in 4Q economic than previously estimated. The result brought 4Q real GDP growth up to 5.9% (AR) from the advance estimate of 5.7%. Last quarter's growth was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 26 2010

  U.S. GDP 4Q Increase Made StrongerBy Inventories

  Rebuilding of depleted inventories was more of a factor behind improvement in 4Q economic than previously estimated. The result brought 4Q real GDP growth up to 5.9% (AR) from the advance estimate of 5.7%. Last quarter's growth was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 25 2010

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Jump With Poor Weather

  Snowstorms in the eastern half and the southern regions of the country helped prompt a jump in unemployment insurance claims. Today's Labor Department report indicated that initial claims for jobless insurance increased 22,000 last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 25 2010

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Surge Due To Aircraft

  Improvement in the factory sector looked material last month. The overall level of durable goods orders jumped 3.0%, that followed an upwardly revised 1.9% December increase and it far outpaced Consensus expectations for a 1.5% gain. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 25 2010

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders SurgeDue To Aircraft

  Improvement in the factory sector looked material last month. The overall level of durable goods orders jumped 3.0%, that followed an upwardly revised 1.9% December increase and it far outpaced Consensus expectations for a 1.5% gain. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2010

  U.S. Weekly Mortgage Applications Slip Again

  The housing market's upturn increasingly looks to have lost steam. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications slipped 8.5% last week for the third week consecutive weekly decline. Nevertheless, it's not all [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2010

  U.S. New Home Sales Plumb Record Low, Weather or Not?

  Whether record snowfall this season hurt housing activity is tough to say. This morning's report that new home sales fell 11.2% from December to 309,000 (AR) following that month's moderate decline suggests that it did, but January [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2010

  U.S. New Home Sales Plumb RecordLow, Weather or Not?

  Whether record snowfall this season hurt housing activity is tough to say. This morning's report that new home sales fell 11.2% from December to 309,000 (AR) following that month's moderate decline suggests that it did, but January [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 23 2010

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Falls Sharply

  There was a slowing of retail sales during December and January. More weakness may be in the offing given the latest souring of consumers' mood. For February, the Conference Board reported that consumer confidence fell 18.6% from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief