Producer price inflation eased last month. The finished goods PPI fell 0.6% after its strong 1.4% increase during January. Nevertheless, the 4.6% y/y gain remained nearly the strongest since the autumn of 2008. The February decline [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Mar 17 2010U.S. PPI Falls With Weak Energy& Core Prices
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 16 2010U.S. Gasoline Prices Move Higher
Petroleum prices are on the rise with the improved economy. The pump price for regular gasoline rose another four cents last week to $2.79 per gallon which is up by three-quarters since December of 2008. Yesterday, the spot market [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 16 2010U.S. Import Prices Dip With Oil
Earlier gains in import prices took a breather in February. However, a further increase is likely this month with the rise in oil prices. The Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that last month import prices slipped 0.3% and roughly [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 16 2010U.S. Housing Starts Decline
There's plainly no lift beneath the housing market. Housing starts last month fell 5.9% to 575,000 units (AR) and reversed January's upwardly-revised gain. Heavy snowstorms likely were a factor contributing to the decline which fell [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 16 2010U.S. Housing StartsDecline
There's plainly no lift beneath the housing market. Housing starts last month fell 5.9% to 575,000 units (AR) and reversed January's upwardly-revised gain. Heavy snowstorms likely were a factor contributing to the decline which fell [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 15 2010U.S. Home Builders’ Index Deteriorates
Poor weather in much of the country likely affected housing market activity during 1Q. The National Association of Home Builders' index of housing market activity fell this month to 15 from 17 in February and for 1Q the index's [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 15 2010Empire State Business Conditions Show Improved Factory Sector
The factory sector improved again this month. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that its March Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions held onto its sharp improvement from the series' low twelve months [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 15 2010Industrial Output Gains Moderate M/M, But Remain Broad
Cold weather and utility demand were behind much of the gain in overall industrial output last month, but improvement elsewhere remained evident. Industrial production inched 0.1% higher after an unrevised 0.9% January gain and a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 15 2010Industrial Output Gains ModerateM/M, But Remain Broad
Cold weather and utility demand were behind much of the gain in overall industrial output last month, but improvement elsewhere remained evident. Industrial production inched 0.1% higher after an unrevised 0.9% January gain and a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 12 2010U.S. Business Inventories Roughly Unchanged; I/S Ratios Depressed
There seems to be no hurry for businesses to accumulate inventories. A modest drop in January inventories followed a December decline that was little-revised. It left the rate of decline just a little less than at the peak rate of [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 12 2010U.S. Retail Sales Firm; "Core" Sales Rise To Highest Since 2008
The gain in February sales, while small, was impressive. Retail sales rose 0.3% after a 0.1% January uptick that was revised down from the 0.5% increase reported last month. A 0.2% decline had been expected for February sales. On a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Mar 12 2010U.S. Retail Sales Firm; "Core"Sales Rise To Highest Since 2008
The gain in February sales, while small, was impressive. Retail sales rose 0.3% after a 0.1% January uptick that was revised down from the 0.5% increase reported last month. A 0.2% decline had been expected for February sales. On a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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