The Euro Area reported a dramatically deflated CPI (HICP, Harmonized index of consumer prices) for November. The index dropped its rate of inflation back to 2.1% from 3.2%, a huge deceleration (in one month!) for yr/yr inflation that [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Nov 25 2008France Business Climate Report
The Insee business climate indicator is plunging. The overall index dropped to 80 in November from 87 in October and now sits in the bottom 14% of its range going back to 1990. It is the 10th weakest climate reading on record. The [...]
- Global| Nov 21 2008
Euro Area PMIs
The Markit/NTC readings on conditions in services and MFG in the Euro Area show another chilling story. The indices are down to all time lows that covers 11-Years for the Manufacturing PMI and 10-years for services. The MFG index [...]
- Global| Nov 21 2008
Euro Area PMIs
The Markit/NTC readings on conditions in services and MFG in the Euro Area show another chilling story. The indices are down to all time lows that covers 11-Years for the Manufacturing PMI and 10-years for services. The MFG index [...]
- Global| Nov 20 2008
New Orders for Italy and France Sink
For France and Italy new industrial orders continue to sink. France is right now seeing the greater weakness. Foreign orders show consistent weakness across time horizons for both Italy and for France. For France the recent [...]
- Global| Nov 19 2008
UK's CBI Survey of Industry
UK orders rebounded ever so slightly from last month’s extreme weakness and still reside in the bottom 2% of their range since about 2000. Export orders have had the same response, making a token bounce in November. Stocks of finished [...]
- Global| Nov 17 2008
French Prospects Drop Sharply
The Bank of France Industry Sentiment Index is pointing much lower. At 77.14 it has fallen in October from 86.08 the month before. This compares to its 12-month average of 97. The index is weaker than this level only about 2 percent [...]
- Global| Nov 14 2008
Europe's GDP and the Auto Sector Woes
The decline in US, UK and EMU GDP growth is all occurring at once. Yr/Yr GDP growth is in a slowing down mode with the slowing at a rather severe pace. We can see that the degree of slowdown and the low pace of growth are both [...]
- Global| Nov 13 2008
German GDP Drops in Q3
German GDP drops -German GDP drops by 2.1% saar in 2008-Q3. As has been the case in Germany for sometime, the Bundesbank continues to blame the thrust of events on outside forces. Germany's Bundesbank said that the global growth [...]
- Global| Nov 12 2008
Euro Area Production Tanks in September
Euro Area industrial output (IP) fell sharply in October dropping by its largest amount in over five years. In Sept MFG IP is dropping across all major product groupings just as it did in August and nearly did so in July. In the EMU [...]
- Global| Nov 10 2008
OECD Slowdown is Broad-Based and More Severe
The OECD trend-adjusted cyclical leading indicators showed a clear pattern of growth deteriorating in the OECD region. The downturn is of increasing severity. Even Japan after a brief flirtation with improving is getting weaker again. [...]
- Global| Nov 10 2008
IP Dropping Fast in Key EMU Countries
EMU IP is sinking fast. Add Italy and France to the list of large EMU countries with industrial output dropping like a stone. The Q3 growth rates for IP in France and in Italy each are negative, Italy’s drop is at a huge -8.4% pace [...]
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