Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 19 2005

  December CPI Fell. 2004 Average Raised by Less Goods Price Deflation

  Consumer Prices (CPI-U) declined 0.1% in December, the first decline since July. Consensus expectations had been for no change. During 2004 prices logged the largest increase in some time. December to December, the 3.4% gain was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2005

  December CPI Fell. 2004 Average Raised by Less Goods Price Deflation

  Consumer Prices (CPI-U) declined 0.1% in December, the first decline since July. Consensus expectations had been for no change. During 2004 prices logged the largest increase in some time. December to December, the 3.4% gain was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 18 2005

  NAHB Housing Market Index Off

  The National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) Composite Housing Market Index fell slightly in January to 70 versus December's level of 71. Through 2004 the index drifted higher from 67 in 1Q to 69 in 2Q to 68 in 3Q to 70 in 4Q. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 18 2005

  MAPI Business Outlook Survey Lower in 4Q, 2004 Set Record

  The 4Q'04 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI fell to 70 from 75 the prior quarter. Despite moderate declines both last quarter and in 3Q, the average level for 2004 set a series' record indicating [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 18 2005

  Empire State Index Eased

  The Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries fell seven points to 20.08 during January following revisions that lowered earlier months' levels. The latest level at 20.08 nevertheless [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 18 2005

  Empire State Index Eased

  The Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries fell seven points to 20.08 during January following revisions that lowered earlier months' levels. The latest level at 20.08 nevertheless [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 14 2005

  U.S. Inventories Gain Strongest Since 1995

  Total business inventories jumped 1.0% in November. The increase lifted the y/y gain to 7.9%, the strongest since 1995, in marked contrast to the decumulation of just a few years ago. Wholesale inventories again jumped by 1.1%. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 14 2005

  Industrial Production Surged

  Industrial production finished 2004 on a strong note and surged 0.8%. The gain followed a downwardly revised 0.2% November increase but it doubled Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% increase. The 4.1% gain in production for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 14 2005

  Producer Prices Fell in December, Core Tame

  The PPI for finished goods fell 0.7% in December, reversed all of the prior month's gain and dropped more than Consensus expectations for a 0.1% dip. The indication of tame pricing power extended to a 0.1% rise in prices less food & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 14 2005

  Producer Prices Fell in December, Core Tame

  The PPI for finished goods fell 0.7% in December, reversed all of the prior month's gain and dropped more than Consensus expectations for a 0.1% dip. The indication of tame pricing power extended to a 0.1% rise in prices less food & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 13 2005

  Small Business Optimism Slipped

  The Small Business Optimism Index published by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) slipped 1.5% in December from the twenty year high to 106.1. During the last ten years there has been a 68% correlation between the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 13 2005

  Import Prices Lower With Petroleum, Non Oil Prices Firm

  Import prices fell 1.3% last month due to sharply lower prices for petroleum. The Consensus expectation had been for a 0.4% decline. Nonpetroleum prices, however, rose 0.5% and raised the y/y increase to 3.8%, its highest since 1995. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief