Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 24 2005

  JOLTS: Job Openings Down But Hires Up in the US

  The Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that the job openings rate fell back in November to 2.4%, the average for 3Q. The job openings rate is the number of job openings on the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 24 2005

  JOLTS: Job Openings Down But Hires Up in the US

  The Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that the job openings rate fell back in November to 2.4%, the average for 3Q. The job openings rate is the number of job openings on the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 21 2005

  Lower Expectations Dropped U.S. Consumer Sentiment in January

  The University of Michigan's preliminary reading of consumer sentiment in January fell to 95.8 versus Consensus expectations for little change m/m at 97.5. During the last ten years there has been a 74% correlation between the level [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 21 2005

  Philadelphia Fed Activity Index Fell Sharply

  The Philadelphia Fed reported that its Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector fell sharply in January to 13.2 from a downwardly revised 25.4 the prior month. The Consensus expectation had been for a reading [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 21 2005

  Philadelphia Fed Activity Index Fell Sharply

  The Philadelphia Fed reported that its Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector fell sharply in January to 13.2 from a downwardly revised 25.4 the prior month. The Consensus expectation had been for a reading [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 20 2005

  Gasoline Prices Firmer

  The average price for unleaded regular gasoline firmed to $1.82 per gallon last week, up four cents from the low during the first week of January. Through December, the price of gasoline relative to the nonenergy Consumer Price Index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 20 2005

  Leading Indicators Rose Again

  The Conference Board reported that the Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators rose an expected 0.2% in December following an upwardly revised 0.3% gain in November. The increases followed five consecutive down months during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 20 2005

  Leading Indicators Rose Again

  The Conference Board reported that the Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators rose an expected 0.2% in December following an upwardly revised 0.3% gain in November. The increases followed five consecutive down months during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2005

  Mortgage Applications Rebound

  Mortgage applications rebounded 16.2% last week following three weeks of decline according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Survey. Refi's led the gain with a 19.1% rise and so far this year are 2.4% higher than in December. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2005

  Chain Store Sales Slipped Further

  Chain store sales fell another 0.9% last week ion top of the 0.6% decline the week earlier, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. Despite the weekly declines, sales in January are 1.6% ahead of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2005

  Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Down

  With a 48,000 w/w decline to 319,000 last week, initial claims for unemployment insurance reversed all of the gains during the prior two weeks and fell to the lowest level in a month. Consensus expectations had been for 345,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2005

  Housing Starts Firm: 2004 The Highest Since 1978

  Housing starts rose 10.9% in December to 2.004M, were upwardly revised for November and beatConsensus expectations for 1.91M starts. Starts for all of last year of 1.948M were the most since 2.001M homes were started in 1978. Higher [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief