Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 13 2005

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Up

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 10,000 to 367,000 last week but the sharp gain the prior week was lessened slightly to 35,000. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 340,000 claims. The four week moving [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 12 2005

  Total Mortgage Applications Off Again

  Mortgage applications dropped last week for the fourth week in the last five according to the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Survey. The 3.0% w/w decline was on the heels of a 10.6% plunge during the last week of 2004. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 12 2005

  Lower Exports Dropped U.S. Trade Deficit To Another Record

  A surprising 2.3% drop in exports caused the U.S. foreign trade deficit to deepen sharply to $60.3B in November, by far a new record. Consensus expectations had been for a narrowing to $54.0B versus October's revised figure of $56.0B. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 12 2005

  Lower Exports Dropped U.S. Trade Deficit To Another Record

  A surprising 2.3% drop in exports caused the U.S. foreign trade deficit to deepen sharply to $60.3B in November, by far a new record. Consensus expectations had been for a narrowing to $54.0B versus October's revised figure of $56.0B. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 11 2005

  Heavy Weather Pushed Chain Store Sales Lower

  Chain store sales fell 0.6% last week following four successive weeks of gain, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The decline may have been prompted by several weather factors including [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 11 2005

  Heavy Weather Pushed Chain Store Sales Lower

  Chain store sales fell 0.6% last week following four successive weeks of gain, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. The decline may have been prompted by several weather factors including [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 10 2005

  ECRI Leading Economic Index Down Sharply

  The weekly leading index of the US economy published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) fell a sharp 1.8% in the closing week of 2004. The decline was due to higher claims for jobless insurance and higher bond yields and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 10 2005

  OECD Leading Economic Index Weak

  The Leading Index of the Big 7 economies in the OECD continued to move sideways in November and was at roughly the same level as in March of last year. Six month growth in the index fell to 0.1%, its weakest since the spring of 2003. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 10 2005

  OECD Leading Economic Index Weak

  The Leading Index of the Big 7 economies in the OECD continued to move sideways in November and was at roughly the same level as in March of last year. Six month growth in the index fell to 0.1%, its weakest since the spring of 2003. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 07 2005

  Scattered Industry Gains Lift U.S. Employment Again

  Non-farm payrolls in December rose 157,000 following an upwardly revised gain of 137,000 in November. Consensus expectations had been for a 175,000 December increase. Payrolls have risen in each month since September of 2003 and the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 07 2005

  Scattered Industry Gains Lift U.S. Employment Again

  Non-farm payrolls in December rose 157,000 following an upwardly revised gain of 137,000 in November. Consensus expectations had been for a 175,000 December increase. Payrolls have risen in each month since September of 2003 and the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 06 2005

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Rose Sharply

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 43,000 to 364,000 last week following a deepened 10,000 decline the week prior. Consensus expectations had been for 333,000 claims. The increase probably was influenced by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief