Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 15 2005

  U.S. Retail Sales Firm

  US retail sales rose 0.5% last month and about matched Consensus expectations. The gain was accompanied, however, by an upward revision to January sales which are now estimated to have risen 0.3% versus the initial report of a 0.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2005

  OECD Leading Economic Index Up Again

  The Leading Index of the Big 7 OECD economies rose 0.2% in January for the third consecutive month. The steady rise lifted six month growth in the index to its best since September. During the last ten years there has been a 69% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2005

  OECD Leading Economic Index Up Again

  The Leading Index of the Big 7 OECD economies rose 0.2% in January for the third consecutive month. The steady rise lifted six month growth in the index to its best since September. During the last ten years there has been a 69% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 11 2005

  U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened in January

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit in January reversed most of the prior month's improvement and deepened to $58.3B. The December deficit was revised shallower. Consensus expectations had been for a January deficit of $56.5B. Total [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 11 2005

  U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened in January

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit in January reversed most of the prior month's improvement and deepened to $58.3B. The December deficit was revised shallower. Consensus expectations had been for a January deficit of $56.5B. Total [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2005

  Households' Net Worth A Record in 4Q04, But Not Versus Income

  The net worth of the US household sector rose 8.8% last quarter versus 4Q03 to a record $48.5 trillion. The gain failed, however, to lift net worth to a new high versus income. In fact the increase lagged the 12.5% rise in net worth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2005

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Up

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 17,000 to 327,000 last week from an unrevised level the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 310,000 claims. Claims may have reflected a rebound from the holiday shortened [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2005

  Households' Net Worth A Record in 4Q04, But Not Versus Income

  The net worth of the US household sector rose 8.8% last quarter versus 4Q03 to a record $48.5 trillion. The gain failed, however, to lift net worth to a new high versus income. In fact the increase lagged the 12.5% rise in net worth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2005

  Mortgage Applications Slip Further

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications slipped 0.7% last week, the fourth consecutive week of decline. Applications to refinance declined 4.6% following the prior week's 9.9% w/w drop. Purchase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 09 2005

  Mortgage Applications Slip Further

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications slipped 0.7% last week, the fourth consecutive week of decline. Applications to refinance declined 4.6% following the prior week's 9.9% w/w drop. Purchase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2005

  Small Business Optimism Unchanged

  The Small Business Optimism Index for February reported by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) was unchanged versus January. The percentage of firms expecting the economy to improve fell further to 20% versus 47% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 08 2005

  Chain Store Sales Off A Bit

  Chain store sales fell 0.4% last week. The slip followed a 1.5% surge the week prior according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. Sales began March 0.7% ahead of the February average which rose 1.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief