The Small Business Optimism Index for February reported by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) was unchanged versus January. The percentage of firms expecting the economy to improve fell further to 20% versus 47% [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Mar 08 2005Small Business Optimism Unchanged
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 07 2005
Commodity Prices Broadly Higher
The JoC-ECRI (Journal of Commerce-Economic Cycle Research Institute) index of industrial commodity prices surged in three out of the last four weeks. The gains lifted the latest reading 2.7% above the February average though the y/y [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 07 2005
Commodity Prices Broadly Higher
The JoC-ECRI (Journal of Commerce-Economic Cycle Research Institute) index of industrial commodity prices surged in three out of the last four weeks. The gains lifted the latest reading 2.7% above the February average though the y/y [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 04 2005
U.S. Factory Inventories Jumped in January
Factory inventories jumped 1.3% in January led higher by broad based industry gains. Less petroleum which jumped 8.6% (18.3% y/y), inventories increased 1.0% (8.1% y/y). Shipments out of the factory sector surged 1.4% but were notable [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 04 2005
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Declined
The February index of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan fell to 94.1 versus the preliminary reading of 94.2 and 95.5 in January. Consensus expectations had been for 94.2. During the last ten years there has been a 74% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 04 2005
U.S. Payrolls Firm
Non-farm payrolls rose 262,000 in February, doubling the prior month's increase which was downwardly revised. Consensus expectations had been for a 225,000 rise. From the separate household survey the unemployment rate rose to 5.4%. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 04 2005
U.S. Payrolls Firm
Non-farm payrolls rose 262,000 in February, doubling the prior month's increase which was downwardly revised. Consensus expectations had been for a 225,000 rise. From the separate household survey the unemployment rate rose to 5.4%. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 03 2005
Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Slipped
Initial claims for unemployment insurance slipped 1,000 to 310,000 last week and the prior week's moderate rise was lessened. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. The four week moving average of initial claims fell to [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 03 2005
U.S. Productivity Growth Revised Up
Non-farm labor productivity growth for 4Q04 was revised upward to 2.1%, reflecting an upward revision to output growth. Nevertheless, productivity growth for the full year of 4.0% was the lowest since 2001. The late year slowdown [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 03 2005
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Higher
The Institute for Supply Management reported that the February Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector rose to 59.8 from 59.2 the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 57.0. Since the series' [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 03 2005
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Higher
The Institute for Supply Management reported that the February Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector rose to 59.8 from 59.2 the prior month. Consensus expectations had been for a decline to 57.0. Since the series' [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Mar 02 2005
Challenger Layoff Count Back Up
Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that job cut announcements rose 17.4% last month and reversed most of the decline in January. Challenger also reported that announced hiring rose to 41,984 jobs, up sharply from 4Q. During the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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