Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 14 2005

  Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Up Again

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped 16,000 to 336,000 last week after a revised 9,000 increase the week earlier. Consensus expectations had been for 320,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been a (negative) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 14 2005

  U.S. Retail Sales Surged

  US retail sales surged 1.7% last month following a decline in May that was revised slightly shallower to -0.3%. Consensus expectations had been for a 1.0% increase. Sales excluding motor vehicles rose 0.7% and followed an upwardly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 14 2005

  Consumer Prices Rose Less Than Expected

  The CPI-U was unchanged last month following a 0.1% decline in May. The figure was below Consensus expectations for a 0.2% increase in June. During the first half of 2005 the CPI rose 3.1% at an annual rate. Energy prices fell 0.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 14 2005

  Consumer Prices Rose Less Than Expected

  The CPI-U was unchanged last month following a 0.1% decline in May. The figure was below Consensus expectations for a 0.2% increase in June. During the first half of 2005 the CPI rose 3.1% at an annual rate. Energy prices fell 0.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 13 2005

  U.S. Budget Surplus in June, Estimates Reduced

  The U.S. federal government ran a budget surplus of $22.2B in June that was in line with Consensus estimates. The monthly surplus kept the deficit during the first nine months of FY 2005 on a pace that was nearly one quarter below the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 13 2005

  Mortgage Applications Back Down

  Total mortgage applications gave back last week most of the prior week's surge and fell 7.2, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Applications nevertheless remained 2.6% above the June average which rose 9.9% versus May. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 13 2005

  Import Prices Recovered

  Import prices in June recovered the prior month's revised decline with a 1.0% increase and about matched Consensus expectations. Petroleum prices more than recovered May's decline with a 7.6% jump. In early July, Brent crude moved [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 13 2005

  U.S. Trade Deficit Smaller

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit improved more than expected in May to $55.3B versus April's downwardly revised deficit of $56.9. Consensus expectations had been for a deficit of $57.0B. Total exports ticked up 0.1% after the 3.3% spike [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 13 2005

  U.S. Trade Deficit Smaller

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit improved more than expected in May to $55.3B versus April's downwardly revised deficit of $56.9. Consensus expectations had been for a deficit of $57.0B. Total exports ticked up 0.1% after the 3.3% spike [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 12 2005

  Chain Store Sales Ticked Higher

  Chain store sales inched 0.1% higher last week following a 0.5% rise during the opening week of July, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. So far this month sales are 0.3% higher than the June [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 12 2005

  Small Business Optimism Stable

  The Small Business Optimism Index reported by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) remained stable in June with the somewhat improved level in May. The stability reflected contradictory indications of a sharp rise in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 12 2005

  JOLTS: U.S. Job Openings Eased

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the job openings rate, from the Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), eased in May to 2.5% while the previously reported April increase was revised away. The job openings rate is [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief