Consumer Confidence in July retraced the prior month's upwardly revised increase and fell 2.8% to 103.2 according to the Conference Board. Consensus expectations had been for stability at 106.2. During the last twenty years there has [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Jul 26 2005Consumer Confidence Retraced Earlier Gain
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 26 2005Consumer Confidence Retraced Earlier Gain
Consumer Confidence in July retraced the prior month's upwardly revised increase and fell 2.8% to 103.2 according to the Conference Board. Consensus expectations had been for stability at 106.2. During the last twenty years there has [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 25 2005U.S. Existing Home Prices & Sales Hot
The median price of an existing single family home jumped 7.3% m/m in June to another record level, $218,600 (14.5% y/y). In just the first six month of this year prices have risen 15.7%. June sales of existing homes rose 2.7% to a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 25 2005U.S. Existing Home Prices & Sales Hot
The median price of an existing single family home jumped 7.3% m/m in June to another record level, $218,600 (14.5% y/y). In just the first six month of this year prices have risen 15.7%. June sales of existing homes rose 2.7% to a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 22 2005MAPI Business Outlook Survey Down in 2Q to the Lowest in Two Years
The 2Q'05 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI fell to 68 from 71 the prior quarter. The latest level is the lowest level since 3Q'03. During the last ten years there has been a 66% correlation [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 22 2005MAPI Business Outlook Survey Down in 2Q to the Lowest in Two Years
The 2Q'05 Composite Business Index published by the Manufacturers' Alliance/MAPI fell to 68 from 71 the prior quarter. The latest level is the lowest level since 3Q'03. During the last ten years there has been a 66% correlation [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 21 2005Philadelphia Fed Activity Index Recovered, Expectations Dreary
The July Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector from the Philadelphia Fed recovered the prior month's drop and returned to positive territory. The 11.8 point m/m increase to 9.6 pulled the index to its [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 21 2005Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims At Four Month Low
Initial claims for unemployment insurance dropped a sharp 34,000 to 303,000 last week after a 16,000 increase the week earlier which was little revised. The latest figure is the lowest since mid-April. Consensus expectations had been [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 21 2005June Leading Indicators Up, Revisions Suggest Improved Prospects
The June Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board rose 0.9%. Revisions to the prior two months raised May to no change from a 0.5% decline reported initially and April to plus 0.2% from no [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 21 2005Philadelphia Fed Activity Index Recovered, Expectations Dreary
The July Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector from the Philadelphia Fed recovered the prior month's drop and returned to positive territory. The 11.8 point m/m increase to 9.6 pulled the index to its [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 20 2005Rise in Mortgage Applications Due To Refinancing
Total mortgage applications inched up 1.2% last week but remained down nearly 10% from the weekly high in early June, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. For July so far, applications remained 1.7% ahead of the June average [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jul 20 2005Rise in Mortgage Applications Due To Refinancing
Total mortgage applications inched up 1.2% last week but remained down nearly 10% from the weekly high in early June, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. For July so far, applications remained 1.7% ahead of the June average [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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