Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 16 2005

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Depressed

  The September Consumer Sentiment Index from the University of Michigan cratered 13.7% m/m to 76.9, the lowest level in over ten years, as consumer expectations were depressed 17.3% by Hurricane Katrina (and probably by higher gasoline [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 16 2005

  U.S. Business Inventories Fell

  Total business inventories fell in July for the second month. The decline lowered the three month change in inventories to -1.5% (AR) versus a 12.1% peak rate of accumulation through last August. The ratio of inventories-to-sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 16 2005

  Philadelphia Fed Indexes: Activity Down Hard, Pricing Surged

  The Philadelphia Fed's Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector fell sharply in September to 2.2 from 17.5, reflecting damage caused by Hurricane Katrina. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser decline to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 16 2005

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Depressed

  The September Consumer Sentiment Index from the University of Michigan cratered 13.7% m/m to 76.9, the lowest level in over ten years, as consumer expectations were depressed 17.3% by Hurricane Katrina (and probably by higher gasoline [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 15 2005

  Hurricane Katrina Caused Jobless Insurance Claims To Surge

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance surged 71,000 to 398,000 from the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for a rise to 345,000. The Labor Department indicated that at least 68,000 of the new claims were directly related [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 15 2005

  Empire State Index Dipped

  The September Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries dipped to 16.97 from 23.04 in August. The new orders component fell sharply following its earlier improvement to 13.10 but the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 15 2005

  Home Prices Surge

  Home prices as tallied by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) surged 3.2% last quarter. The gain represented a some strengthening of the pattern of double digit annualized gains in home prices which began in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 15 2005

  CPI Lifted By Strong Energy Prices

  Consumer prices (CPI-U) rose an expected 0.5% last month, the same as the unrevised increase in July. The gain in prices less food & energy prices also has been stable, the same 0.1% for four months. Consensus expectations had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 15 2005

  CPI Lifted By Strong Energy Prices

  Consumer prices (CPI-U) rose an expected 0.5% last month, the same as the unrevised increase in July. The gain in prices less food & energy prices also has been stable, the same 0.1% for four months. Consensus expectations had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2005

  U.S. Budget Deficit Deepened Due To Widespread Spending

  In August, the U.S. federal government ran a budget deficit of $50.0B. That was slightly deeper than Consensus estimates but it was quite a bit deeper than a $41.1BB deficit last August. Nevertheless, the deficit of $352.6B during the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2005

  Industrial Production Increase Again Light

  Industrial output in August rose 0.1% for the second consecutive month and fell short of Consensus expectations for a 0.3% increase. The disappointment centered on declines in utility output (-0.5%) and mining output (-0.7%). Factory [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 14 2005

  U.S. Retail Sales Down With Autos, Elsewhere OK

  US retail sales fell 2.1% in August due to a 12.0% drop in motor vehicle dealers' sales. Consensus expectations had been for a 1.3% decline. Less autos, however, retail sales doubled expectations and rose 1.0%. Some of this m/m [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief