Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 12 2006

  OECD Leaders Up Again

  The April Leading Index of the major 7 OECD economies rose 0.2% following a downwardly revised 0.1% increase during March. The leaders have risen 3.4% since the low last April and despite the recent slow gains, the six month growth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 12 2006

  OECD Leaders Up Again

  The April Leading Index of the major 7 OECD economies rose 0.2% following a downwardly revised 0.1% increase during March. The leaders have risen 3.4% since the low last April and despite the recent slow gains, the six month growth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 09 2006

  1Q Debt Growth Fastest Y/Y Since 1999

  Growth in total credit market debt outstanding rose 10.2% (AR) last quarter. That was a modest slowdown from the 12.1% advance during 4Q but it was enough to lift the y/y rate of growth to 9.7%, its fastest since 1999. A jump in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 09 2006

  Import Prices Jumped; Excl. Oil Strength in Industrial Materials

  Total import prices advanced another 1.6% last month after a 2.1% jump during April. Again, the rise easily surpassed Consensus expectations which had been for a 0.7% increase. Import prices less petroleum jumped 0.6%, the strongest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 09 2006

  April U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened Less Than Expected

  During April the U.S. foreign trade deficit deepened to $63.4B from a little revised $61.9B in March. The deficit fell short of Consensus expectations for $65.1B. The latest deficit was the deepest since the near-record in January of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 09 2006

  April U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened Less Than Expected

  During April the U.S. foreign trade deficit deepened to $63.4B from a little revised $61.9B in March. The deficit fell short of Consensus expectations for $65.1B. The latest deficit was the deepest since the near-record in January of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 08 2006

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Fell To Two Month Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 35,000 w/w to the lowest level since early April. The decline last week to 302,000 followed a slightly revised 9,000 increase the prior period and may have been biased down by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 08 2006

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Fell To Two Month Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 35,000 w/w to the lowest level since early April. The decline last week to 302,000 followed a slightly revised 9,000 increase the prior period and may have been biased down by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 07 2006

  Inflation Expectations Rise

  Inflation expectations were piqued this week by Fed Chairman Bernanke's comments that the three-month and six-month core PCE inflation figures at 3.0% and 2.3% were "unwelcome developments." As a result, the yield on the inflation- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 07 2006

  Mortgage Applications Fell Further

  The total number of mortgage applications fell 1.4% last week and lowered the level in early June 4.8% below the May average which fell 2.2% from April. Purchase applications were stable w/w but because of earlier declines the opening [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 07 2006

  Mortgage Applications Fell Further

  The total number of mortgage applications fell 1.4% last week and lowered the level in early June 4.8% below the May average which fell 2.2% from April. Purchase applications were stable w/w but because of earlier declines the opening [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 06 2006

  JOLTS: Job Openings Steady, Hires Rate Down

  The April job openings rate as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) was unchanged at 2.9%, where it has been all year. The job openings rate is the number of job openings on [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief