Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 13 2006

  Chain Store Sales Recover

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS reported that chain store sales recovered last week from earlier weakness with a 1.2% surge. The increase left sales in early June off a scant 0.4% from the May average which [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2006

  Small Business Optimism Back Down, Pricing Power Firm

  Small business optimism in May reversed most of the prior month's recovery with a 1.6% decline, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB). During the last ten years there has been a 70% correlation between [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2006

  PPI Tame, Core firm

  The finished goods producer price index rose 0.2% during May after the 0.9% spike in April. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.4% rise. Prices less food & energy, however, were a bit firmer than expected during May. The 0.3% gain [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2006

  U.S. Retail Sales Increase As Expected

  US retail sales increased an expected 0.1% following an upwardly revised 0.8% rise during April. Retail sales during the first five months of 2006 rose at a 9.2% annual rate versus the 7.2% rise during all of last year. Nonauto sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 13 2006

  U.S. Retail Sales Increase As Expected

  US retail sales increased an expected 0.1% following an upwardly revised 0.8% rise during April. Retail sales during the first five months of 2006 rose at a 9.2% annual rate versus the 7.2% rise during all of last year. Nonauto sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 12 2006

  OECD Leaders Up Again

  The April Leading Index of the major 7 OECD economies rose 0.2% following a downwardly revised 0.1% increase during March. The leaders have risen 3.4% since the low last April and despite the recent slow gains, the six month growth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 12 2006

  OECD Leaders Up Again

  The April Leading Index of the major 7 OECD economies rose 0.2% following a downwardly revised 0.1% increase during March. The leaders have risen 3.4% since the low last April and despite the recent slow gains, the six month growth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 09 2006

  1Q Debt Growth Fastest Y/Y Since 1999

  Growth in total credit market debt outstanding rose 10.2% (AR) last quarter. That was a modest slowdown from the 12.1% advance during 4Q but it was enough to lift the y/y rate of growth to 9.7%, its fastest since 1999. A jump in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 09 2006

  Import Prices Jumped; Excl. Oil Strength in Industrial Materials

  Total import prices advanced another 1.6% last month after a 2.1% jump during April. Again, the rise easily surpassed Consensus expectations which had been for a 0.7% increase. Import prices less petroleum jumped 0.6%, the strongest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 09 2006

  April U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened Less Than Expected

  During April the U.S. foreign trade deficit deepened to $63.4B from a little revised $61.9B in March. The deficit fell short of Consensus expectations for $65.1B. The latest deficit was the deepest since the near-record in January of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 09 2006

  April U.S. Trade Deficit Deepened Less Than Expected

  During April the U.S. foreign trade deficit deepened to $63.4B from a little revised $61.9B in March. The deficit fell short of Consensus expectations for $65.1B. The latest deficit was the deepest since the near-record in January of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 08 2006

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Fell To Two Month Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 35,000 w/w to the lowest level since early April. The decline last week to 302,000 followed a slightly revised 9,000 increase the prior period and may have been biased down by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief