Initial unemployment insurance claims increased 11,000 to 308,000 last week. The rise followed a decline of 6,000 the week prior that was slightly shallower than initially estimated and about matched Consensus expectations for 309,000 [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Jun 22 2006Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Up Slightly
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 22 2006Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Up Slightly
Initial unemployment insurance claims increased 11,000 to 308,000 last week. The rise followed a decline of 6,000 the week prior that was slightly shallower than initially estimated and about matched Consensus expectations for 309,000 [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 21 2006Gold Prices Crater, Oil Off a Bit But Inflation Pressure Up
Gold prices at $567.00 per ounce yesterday were more than 20% lower than their high during May. (Since 1980 there has been a 56% correlation between the level of gold prices and the y/y change in consumer prices.) In addition, the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 21 2006Mortgage Applications Dip, # of Unsold Homes Soar
The total number of mortgage applications dipped 0.8% last week after the 7.0% recovery the prior week. Through early June, applications were just 0.6% below the May average but were 27.9% below the year ago level. Applications to [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 21 2006Mortgage Applications Dip, # of Unsold Homes Soar
The total number of mortgage applications dipped 0.8% last week after the 7.0% recovery the prior week. Through early June, applications were just 0.6% below the May average but were 27.9% below the year ago level. Applications to [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 20 2006Chain Store Sales Stable As Gas Prices Fell
The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS reported that chain store sales were stable last week following a 1.2% surge during the prior week. Sales so far in June are 0.2% below the May average which fell 0.4% from [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 20 2006NAHB Housing Market Index Down Again
The National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) reported that the June Composite Housing Market Index at 45 fell another 8.7% from May to the lowest level since April 1995. The figure matched Consensus expectations. During the last [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 20 2006Housing Starts Rebound
Housing starts rebounded 5.0% last month to 1.957M units and recovered about all of the April decline that was revised slightly shallower. The rise by far exceeded Consensus expectations for stability at 1.869M starts. Total housing [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 20 2006Housing Starts Rebound
Housing starts rebounded 5.0% last month to 1.957M units and recovered about all of the April decline that was revised slightly shallower. The rise by far exceeded Consensus expectations for stability at 1.869M starts. Total housing [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 19 2006Empire State Index Recovered in June
The June Empire State Mfg. Index of General Business Conditions, reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, surged 16.07 points to 29.01 and recovered all of the declines during the prior two months. Consensus expectations had [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 19 2006Empire State Index Recovered in June
The June Empire State Mfg. Index of General Business Conditions, reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, surged 16.07 points to 29.01 and recovered all of the declines during the prior two months. Consensus expectations had [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Jun 16 2006Philadelphia Fed Business Activity Dipped
The Index of General Business Conditions in the manufacturing sector during June from the Philadelphia Fed dipped to 13.1 from an unrevised 14.4 during May. The decline was less than the Consensus expectation for a drop to 11.5. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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