Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 05 2006

  Chain Store Sales Fell Again, Gasoline Prices Rose

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS reported that chain store sales fell another 0.7% last week following a 0.4% slip the prior period. Sales for all of June fell 0.4% from the May average which fell 0.4% from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 05 2006

  Chain Store Sales Fell Again, Gasoline Prices Rose

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS reported that chain store sales fell another 0.7% last week following a 0.4% slip the prior period. Sales for all of June fell 0.4% from the May average which fell 0.4% from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 03 2006

  U.S. Construction Spending Off Again

  The value of construction put in place fell another 0.4% in May following a little revised 0.2% slip during April. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.2% gain and revisions to the data extended back to January 2003. Lower [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 03 2006

  ISM Index Disappointing Again in June, but Orders Up

  The June Composite Index of factory sector activity reported by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) slipped to 53.8 from 54.4 the month prior. Consensus expectations had been for a slight increase to 55.0. During the last twenty [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 03 2006

  ISM Index Disappointing Again in June, but Orders Up

  The June Composite Index of factory sector activity reported by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) slipped to 53.8 from 54.4 the month prior. Consensus expectations had been for a slight increase to 55.0. During the last twenty [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2006

  U.S. Consumers' Spirits Rose Further as Inflation Expectations Fell

  Consumer sentiment during all of June improved 7.3% from the prior month to 84.9 according to the University of Michigan. The increase recovered most of a 9.5% slump during May, built on the rise that was reported earlier and exceeded [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2006

  U.S. Personal Income Firm, Prices Tame

  Personal income rose 0.4% last month following an upwardly revised 0.5% gain during April. The May increase doubled Consensus expectations for a 0.2% rise. The PCE chain price index rose an expected 0.4% and reflected a 4.6% (30.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2006

  U.S. Personal Income Firm, Prices Tame

  Personal income rose 0.4% last month following an upwardly revised 0.5% gain during April. The May increase doubled Consensus expectations for a 0.2% rise. The PCE chain price index rose an expected 0.4% and reflected a 4.6% (30.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2006

  Fed Funds Rate Increased to 5.25%

  The Federal Open Market Committee raised the target interest rate for Federal funds 25 basis points to 5.25% at today's meeting. This seventeenth 25 basis point increase since June of 2004 was the result of a unanimous decision. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2006

  Help-Wanted Advertising Lowest Since 1961

  The Index of Help-Wanted Advertising from the Conference Board fell to 33 in May from 35 the prior month and an average of 39 last year. The decline dropped the figure to its lowest level since July 1961. During the last ten years [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2006

  Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Again Up Slightly

  Initial unemployment insurance claims ticked up another 4,000 to 313,000 last week. The gain followed a 12,000 increase the prior week which was little changed. Consensus expectations had been for 305,000 claims. The four-week moving [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2006

  US GDP & Profits Revised Up for 1Q. Price Gain Easier

  U.S. real GDP grew faster during the first quarter than estimated last month. The 5.6% (AR) annual rate of growth was upwardly revised from 5.3% and from the initial estimate of 4.8%. The revised figure matched Consensus expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief