Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Sep 29 2006

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Rose As Inflation Expectations Fell

  Consumer sentiment for all of September improved, according to the University of Michigan. The full month reading recouped all an August decline and rose 4.1% to 85.4, up from a mid-month read of 84.4. Consensus expectations had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 29 2006

  U.S. Personal Income Up As Expected, Core Price Inflation Tame

  Personal income matched expectations and rose 0.3% last month after a downwardly revised 0.5% gain during July. Personal consumption rose a slightly less than expected 0.1%, held back held back by a 6.5% m/m drop (-4.7% y/y) in unit [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 29 2006

  U.S. Personal Income Up As Expected, Core Price Inflation Tame

  Personal income matched expectations and rose 0.3% last month after a downwardly revised 0.5% gain during July. Personal consumption rose a slightly less than expected 0.1%, held back held back by a 6.5% m/m drop (-4.7% y/y) in unit [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 28 2006

  Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Fell

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell 6,000 to 316,000 after an upwardly revised 11,000 increase during the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for 315,000 claims. During the last ten years there has been a (negative) 78% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 28 2006

  US GDP Growth Revised Back to 2.6%, Profits Weaker

  U.S. real GDP growth last quarter was revised back to 2.6% (AR) from the preliminary report of 2.9% and the advance report of 2.5% growth. The figure fell short of Consensus expectations for an unrevised 2.9% advance. Growth in 2Q [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 28 2006

  US GDP Growth Revised Back to 2.6%, Profits Weaker

  U.S. real GDP growth last quarter was revised back to 2.6% (AR) from the preliminary report of 2.9% and the advance report of 2.5% growth. The figure fell short of Consensus expectations for an unrevised 2.9% advance. Growth in 2Q [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 27 2006

  Mortgage Purchase Application Down Again

  The total number of mortgage applications fell 4.9% last week according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. For the month, applications nevertheless are 3.6% above the August average which fell 3.5% from July. Purchase applications [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 27 2006

  New Home Sales Up, Revisions & Prices Down

  Sales of new single family home sales improved 4.1% last month to 1.05M, matched expectations and recovered more than half of July's decline. But that month's sales level was revised down to 1.009 from 1.072M estimated initially. New [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 27 2006

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Lost Steam

  New orders for durable goods fell 0.5% last month after a 2.7% decline during August which was deeper than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% increase, though a weakening had been hinted by the lower ISM [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 27 2006

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Lost Steam

  New orders for durable goods fell 0.5% last month after a 2.7% decline during August which was deeper than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.5% increase, though a weakening had been hinted by the lower ISM [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 26 2006

  Consumer Confidence Recovered

  For September, the Conference Board indicated that consumer confidence recovered most of the prior month's drop, which was revised shallower, with a 4.3% increase to 104.5. Consensus expectations had been for a more moderate increase [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 26 2006

  Chain Store Sales Down Again. Gasoline Prices Still Falling

  The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS reported another drop in chain store sales last week. The 0.6% decline was the third drop in a as many weeks and left the average of sales in September 0.3% below August.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief