Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 13 2008

  U.S. Retail Sales Fell Unexpectedly, Discretionary Sales Mixed

  During February, U.S. retail sales fell an unexpected 0.6%, below the Consensus forecast for a 0.2% gain. Weak retail sales were generally expected during the last two months. The weakness didn't come in the initial January report but [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 13 2008

  U.S. Retail Sales Fell Unexpectedly, Discretionary Sales Mixed

  During February, U.S. retail sales fell an unexpected 0.6%, below the Consensus forecast for a 0.2% gain. Weak retail sales were generally expected during the last two months. The weakness didn't come in the initial January report but [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 12 2008

  JOLTS: Job Openings Broadly Down Early in 2008

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in the Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the January '08 job openings rate was unchanged from the prior month at 2.8%. That level was, however, down from early 2007. Past year's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 12 2008

  U.S. Mortgage Foreclosures Continued To Surge

  The Mortgage Bankers' Association reported that during the 4th quarter of 2007, foreclosures were started on .83% of all mortgages outstanding. That was by far the highest foreclosure rate on record. Moreover, it raised the total for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 12 2008

  U.S. Mortgage Foreclosures Continued To Surge

  The Mortgage Bankers' Association reported that during 4Q07, foreclosures were started on .83% of all mortgages outstanding. That was by far the highest foreclosure rate on record. Moreover, it raised the total for the full year to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 11 2008

  Small Business Optimism Ticked Up

  According to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), small business optimism recovered a modest 1.2% during February after the prior month's 3.0% decline. Optimism remained near the lowest level since during the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 11 2008

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Weak As Gasoline Price Surged

  The International Council of Shopping Centers ICSC-UBS Chain Store survey indicated that chain store sales, last week, recovered just 0.3% of the prior period's 0.6% decline. The latest level of sales was about equal to the February [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 11 2008

  U.S. Trade Deficit Widened

  During January the U.S. foreign trade deficit widened to $58.2B from a revised $57.9B in December, which was shallower than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a deficit of $59.6B. Lifted by the weaker dollar, U.S. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 11 2008

  U.S. Trade Deficit Widened

  During January the U.S. foreign trade deficit widened to $58.2B from a revised $57.9B in December, which was shallower than initially reported. Consensus expectations had been for a deficit of $59.6B. Lifted by the weaker dollar, U.S. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2008

  U.S. Flow of Funds: Debt Growth Slowed, Household Net Worth Down

  Credit market debt outstanding owed by all sectors of the economy grew 8.6% AR (8.9% y/y) during the fourth quarter of 2007. The gain was a marked slowdown from the strong 10.9% rise during 3Q. Boosted by the growing budget deficit, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 10 2008

  U.S. Flow of Funds: Debt Growth Slowed, Household Net Worth Down

  Credit market debt outstanding owed by all sectors of the economy grew 8.6% AR (8.9% y/y) during the fourth quarter of 2007. The gain was a marked slowdown from the strong 10.9% rise during 3Q. Boosted by the growing budget deficit, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 07 2008

  U.S. Payrolls Again Fell Unexpectedly

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that for the second consecutive month, nonfarm payrolls fell. A 63,000 decline last month followed a downwardly revised 22,000 drop during January. The December job gain also was revised weaker. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief