Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 13 2008

  U.S. Total Import Prices Jumped Again

  U.S. import prices overall jumped 1.7% last month after gains between 2.0% and 3.0% during the prior four months. The latest rise nearly doubled expectations for a 1.0% increase. During the last three months import prices have risen [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 13 2008

  U.S. Retail Sales Dipped As Expected, Internet & Catalogue Sales Jumped

  U.S. retail sales last month dipped 0.1%, right on Consensus expectations. The decline followed an upwardly revised June rise of 0.3%. On a three-month basis overall retail sales rose at a 4.1% annual rate, even with last year's 4.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 13 2008

  U.S. Retail Sales Dipped As Expected, Internet & Catalogue Sales Jumped

  U.S. retail sales last month dipped 0.1%, right on Consensus expectations. The decline followed an upwardly revised June rise of 0.3%. On a three-month basis overall retail sales rose at a 4.1% annual rate, even with last year's 4.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 12 2008

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Fell Further

  Small business optimism, according to the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), fell another 1.1% last month after having been roughly unchanged in June. The index was near the low in 1975 which was its second lowest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 12 2008

  JOLTS: Job Openings Stable in June, Hires Up

  For June, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in the Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) reported that the number of job openings ticked down 0.1% (-15.0% y/y) from May. The dip followed a 0.5% gain during May. Since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 12 2008

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Lost Steam

  According to the International Council of Shopping Centers chain store sales fell 0.2% last week and that was enough to return the level of sales to where it was in the third week of June. Sales were still up 0.4% from the June [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 12 2008

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Down Again and Still The Lowest Since Late-May

  The pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline repeated the prior week's decline and fell seven cents last week to $3.81 per gallon, according to the U.S. Department of Energy survey. The price has now fallen by 30 cents, or 7.4%, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 12 2008

  U.S. Trade Deficit Again Unexpectedly Narrowed As Exports Surged

  During June, the U.S. foreign trade deficit narrowed again to $56.8B after shrinking to the little-revised $59.2B in May. A deficit of $61.9B had been the Consensus expectation for June. So far this year the monthly trade deficit has [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 12 2008

  U.S. Trade Deficit Again Unexpectedly Narrowed As Exports Surged

  During June, the U.S. foreign trade deficit narrowed again to $56.8B after shrinking to the little-revised $59.2B in May. A deficit of $61.9B had been the Consensus expectation for June. So far this year the monthly trade deficit has [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 08 2008

  U.S. 2Q Productivity Growth Weakened, Costs Still Under Control

  Labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector rose 2.2% at an annual rate last quarter. The increase fell short of Consensus expectations for a 2.5% rise while growth during 1Q and for all of last year was revised down. Output [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 08 2008

  U.S. 2Q Productivity Growth Weakened, Costs Still Under Control

  Labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector rose 2.2% at an annual rate last quarter. The increase fell short of Consensus expectations for a 2.5% rise while growth during 1Q and for all of last year was revised down. Output [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 07 2008

  U.S. Consumer Credit Growth Stable in June, Still Stable With 2007

  Consumer credit outstanding rose $14.3B during June following moderate $8.0 and $9.0 billion increases during the prior two months. On a percentage basis, the change in consumer credit over the last three months averaged 5.0% (AR) and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief