For January, the Conference Board reported that the composite index of leading economic indicators rose 0.4% after a revised 0.2% December increase. The peak index level occurred in July of last year and the six-month rate of decline [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Feb 19 2009U.S. Leading Indicators Rose Slightly
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 19 2009U.S. PPI Firmer Than Expected
U.S. producer prices for finished goods rose 0.8% during January following five consecutive months of sharp decline. Despite the latest monthly increase, however, the year-to-year change of -1.3% was the softest since late 2002. A [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 19 2009U.S. PPI Firmer Than Expected
U.S. producer prices for finished goods rose 0.8% during January following five consecutive months of sharp decline. Despite the latest monthly increase, however, the year-to-year change of -1.3% was the softest since late 2002. A [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 18 2009U.S. Factory Output Down Sharply Again in January; Off 10.0% Y/Y
The U.S. factory sector remained severely depressed last month. Industrial production during January fell 1.8% after the 2.4% drop during December which was revised deeper from the initial report. Last month's decline about matched [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 18 2009U.S. Import Price Decline Quickened
The worldwide recession continued to dampen pricing power last month. Overall U.S. import prices fell another 1.1% during January after a 5.0% December decline that was deeper than reported initially. The latest drop about matched [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 18 2009U.S. Housing Starts Plumb Another Record Low
It now is more than clear that the pace of the downturn in the U.S. housing market has accelerated. The latest Commerce Department figures indicate that in January starts fell to 466,000 (AR), another record low in the series' history [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 18 2009U.S. Housing Starts Plumb AnotherRecord Low
It now is more than clear that the pace of the downturn in the U.S. housing market has accelerated. The latest Commerce Department figures indicate that in January starts fell to 466,000 (AR), another record low in the series' history [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 17 2009U.S. Home Builders' Survey Ticked Up Slightly
The Housing Market Index (HMI) from the National Association of Home Builders ticked up this month after having reached the record low in January. At nine the figure still was, however, less than half the year-ago figure. The index is [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 17 2009U.S. Empire State Index Fell To A New Low
The February Empire State Index of manufacturing sector activity, reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, fell to a new low for the series which dates back to 2001. The figure of -34.65 was down from -22.20 in January and it [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 17 2009U.S. Empire State Index Fell To ANew Low
The February Empire State Index of manufacturing sector activity, reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, fell to a new low for the series which dates back to 2001. The figure of -34.65 was down from -22.20 in January and it [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 13 2009Michigan Consumer Sentiment Sinks to Its Lowest Since 1980
The University of Michigan reported that its mid-February reading of consumer sentiment fell sharply. The 8.2% month-to-month decline to a level of 56.2 nearly reversed all of the gains of the prior two months and returned the index [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Feb 13 2009Michigan Consumer Sentiment Sinksto Its Lowest Since 1980
The University of Michigan reported that its mid-February reading of consumer sentiment fell sharply. The 8.2% month-to-month decline to a level of 56.2 nearly reversed all of the gains of the prior two months and returned the index [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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