The National Association of Purchasing Management data continued to indicate that the recession in U.S. factory sector activity is over. Though the September composite index slipped to 52.6 from 52.9 in August, it remained near the [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Oct 01 2009ISM Factory Index Remains Near Highest Level Since Early-2007 Suggesting Positive Growth
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 01 2009
U.S. Personal Income Grows Modestly; PCE Raised By "Cash-for-Clunkers"
Personal income in August continued to increase at its modest July rate. The 0.2% rise followed a 0.2% gain which was revised from 0.1%. Consensus forecasts were for a 0.1% uptick. These weak increases wholly reflect the current [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 01 2009
U.S. Personal Income GrowsModestly; PCE Raised By "Cash-for-Clunkers"
Personal income in August continued to increase at its modest July rate. The 0.2% rise followed a 0.2% gain which was revised from 0.1%. Consensus forecasts were for a 0.1% uptick. These weak increases wholly reflect the current [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 30 2009
Q2 GDP Fell A Lessened 0.7%; Hesitant Profits Recovery Continues
The second revision of GDP growth last quarter showed that activity fell slightly less than initially estimated. A 0.7% (AR) 2Q decline compared to 1.0% declines indicated in the two prior reports. During the course of the numbers' [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 30 2009
ADP Report: Sharp Decline In Nonfarm Payroll Employment Continues
The sharp decline in payroll employment continued this month, but the rate of decline recently has stabilized. The latest report from the payroll processor ADP, in their National Employment Report, indicated that private nonfarm [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 30 2009
ADP Report: Sharp Decline InNonfarm Payroll Employment Continues
The sharp decline in payroll employment continued this month, but the rate of decline recently has stabilized. The latest report from the payroll processor ADP, in their National Employment Report, indicated that private nonfarm [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 29 2009
U.S. Consumer Confidence Moves Sideways After Spring Bounce
The Conference Board indicated that consumer confidence during September dipped from August. Though both figures were up sharply from the February low, the trend in the series has been roughly sideways since May. The Conference Board [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 29 2009
Weekly Gasoline Prices Fall To Lowest Level In One Month
The pump price for regular gasoline fell last week to the lowest level since late-July. At an average $2.50 per gallon the price dropped a nickel from the prior week and may have broken out of the sideways pattern since early-June. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 29 2009
Case-Shiller Home Price Index Posts Largest Monthly Increase Since 2005
Firmer readings on home sales have given a lift to home prices. During July the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Composite Index of twenty metro-markets rose 1.2% from June and that was the firmest gain since late-2005. The monthly [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 29 2009
Case-Shiller Home Price IndexPosts Largest Monthly Increase Since 2005
Firmer readings on home sales have given a lift to home prices. During July the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Composite Index of twenty metro-markets rose 1.2% from June and that was the firmest gain since late-2005. The monthly [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 28 2009
Chicago Fed Index Lower Last Month But Trend Still Firm
The Chicago Federal Reserve Bank reported that its National Activity Index slipped last month after having improved sharply from the January low. The reading of -0.90 was down from -0.56 during July but both figures were well improved [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 28 2009
Chicago Fed Index Lower Last MonthBut Trend Still Firm
The Chicago Federal Reserve Bank reported that its National Activity Index slipped last month after having improved sharply from the January low. The reading of -0.90 was down from -0.56 during July but both figures were well improved [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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