- Decline reverses part of May increase
- Both expectations and present situation readings drop.
- Inflation expectations fall to three-month low.
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 24 2025U.S. Energy Prices Increase in Latest Week
- Gasoline prices rise to 11-week high.
- Crude oil prices surge.
- Natural gas prices move up.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Sales are best in three months.
- Increase spreads throughout country except in West.
- Median sales price strengthens to highest in just under twelve months.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Current General Activity Index indicates less of a weakening in factory sector activity.
- Inflation reading increases sharply.
- Future General Activity Index falls to three-month low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- FOMC holds funds rate target at late-December level.
- The decision was unanimously approved by FOMC voters.
- Expected GDP growth expectations reduced; price inflation raised.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 18 2025U.S. Housing Starts Slump in May as Multi-Family Plummets
- Single-family starts edge higher; multi-family drops to six-month low.
- Starts decline in most of the country.
- Building permits move down as well, led by single-family weakness.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 17 2025U.S. Home Builders Index Declines in June
- Overall reading stands at lowest level since December 2022.
- All component measures fall.
- Most regional indexes retreat.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Sharp decline in imported fuel costs is offset by increases in other products.
- Export price decline reflects lower petroleum prices.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 16 2025NABE Forecasts Sharply Reduced Growth for 2025 & 2026
- Consumer spend growth is reduced.
- Business investment growth unchanged.
- Price inflation is forecast to pick up, then moderate.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 13 2025U.S. Housing Affordability Declines in April
- Home prices & mortgage rates rise.
- Median income improves.
- Affordability falls across country.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 12 2025U.S. Producer Price & Core Price Indexes Edge Higher in May
- Annual increase remains below January peak.
- Core price gain slows y/y.
- Final demand goods price increase is steady y/y while services decelerate.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Jun 11 2025U.S. Consumer Price Index & Core Prices Rise Minimally in May
- Annual total & core gains remain on downward trend.
- Food prices increase but energy costs fall sharply.
- Core goods prices are unchanged and service price gain eases.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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