- Modest Increase adds to recovery since early-September.
- Metals and lumber prices lead rise.
- Crude oil prices decline.
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
USA| Oct 06 2025FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Increase in Latest Four Weeks
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Total services index falls to four-month low.
- Business activity and new orders weaken.
- Prices index moved up sharply from 2024 low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Oct 02 2025U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Rise in September
- Light truck sales improve while auto purchases move lower.
- Total vehicle sales increase moderately y/y.
- Imports' market share declines.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Oct 01 2025U.S. ADP Employment Declines Unexpectedly in September
- Drop in private payroll jobs is third in last four months.
- Service-sector jobs decline sharply; construction & factory hiring weakens.
- Job-changer wage growth moderates.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Confidence level is lowest since April.
- Present situation & expectation readings decline.
- Inflation expectations reverse August increase.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Sep 30 2025U.S. FHFA House Prices Ease in July
- Prices edge lower for fourth straight month.
- Year-to-year increase is lowest since 2012.
- Monthly price changes are uneven amongst regions.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Sales rise to highest level since March.
- Increase follows declines in three of prior four months.
- Regional changes are mixed.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Sep 29 2025Texas Manufacturing Activity Index Turns Negative & Expectations Weaken in September
- Current Conditions Survey is negative for seventh month in last eight.
- Production, new orders, shipments & employment weaken.
- Prices ease but wages & benefits improve.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Slight rise is first since early August.
- Metals prices strengthen while textile costs improve.
- Lumber & crude oil prices decline.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Current General Activity Index improves to highest level since January.
- Inflation reading declines to seven-month low.
- Future General Activity Index continues upward movement.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- FOMC lowers funds rate target by quarter point after stability since December 2024.
- The decision was approved by all but one FOMC voter.
- Expected GDP growth & price expectations raised.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Sep 17 2025U.S. Housing Starts and Building Permits Decline in August
- Downturn reverses June/July improvement.
- Single & multi-family starts decline.
- Building permits drop to five-year low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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