- Current Conditions Survey is negative for eighth month in last nine.
- Production, new orders, shipments & employment stay sluggish.
- Wages & benefits weaken; prices ease.
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
USA| Oct 27 2025Texas Manufacturing Activity Index Remains Negative; Expectations Deteriorate in October
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Oct 24 2025U.S. Consumer Price Inflation Moderates in September
- Monthly gains in total & core price indexes ease.
- Year-to-year comparisons edge higher.
- Core goods prices remain firm, but core services inflation eases.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Oct 23 2025U.S. Unemployment Insurance Claims Ease in Latest Week
- Initial claims decline, reversing earlier increase.
- Continuing claims move lower.
- State unemployment rates vary.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Oct 23 2025U.S. Existing Home Sales Rise in September; Prices Decline
- Home sales reach their highest level in seven months.
- Sales are slightly higher m/m in most of country.
- Median sales price falls in most of country.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Mortgage applications decline for fourth straight week.
- Purchase applications fall sharply as refinancing increases.
- Mortgage interest rates fall.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Oct 21 2025U.S. Energy Prices Decline in Latest Week
- Retail gasoline prices drop sharply in latest week.
- The price of WTI crude oil falls to lowest since 2021.
- Natural gas prices decline to November low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Crude oil prices fall sharply.
- Framing lumber costs surge.
- Metals prices strengthen.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Oct 17 2025U.S. Home Builders Index Strengthens in October
- Overall reading is highest level since April.
- Current sales rise, expectations surge, while traffic improves.
- Index improves throughout the country.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Current General Activity Index reverses earlier improvement.
- Inflation reading increases.
- Future General Activity Index rebounds to five-month high.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Oct 15 2025Empire State Manufacturing Index Strengthens in October
- New orders, shipments & employment rebound.
- Prices paid & received improve.
- Six-month outlook strengthens.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Oct 13 2025NABE GDP Forecasts In 2025 & 2026 Are Raised
- Consumer spending growth increased.
- Business investment growth also increased.
- Price inflation expectations reduced.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Oct 10 2025U.S. Housing Affordability Increases in August
- Home prices & mortgage rates decline for second straight month.
- Median income continues to edge higher.
- Affordability increases across country.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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