Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 02 2010

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Improve

  Home sales recovered during December after falling sharply in November with the (since-extended) expiration of an $8,000 first-time home buyers tax credit. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that December pending home [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 02 2010

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Improve

  Home sales recovered during December after falling sharply in November with the (since-extended) expiration of an $8,000 first-time home buyers tax credit. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that December pending home [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2010

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Improve

  Construction activity moved lower, again. During December construction outlays fell 1.2% after a 1.2% November shortfall that was double the initial estimate. The latest decline was double the Consensus estimate. The worst of the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2010

  ISM Manufacturing Index Reaches Highest Since 2004

  The pace of improvement in the U.S. factory sector picked up steam in the new year. The National Association of Purchasing Management reported that its January composite index showed unexpected strength, for the second consecutive [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2010

  U.S. Personal Income & Spending In Record Decline Last Year

  The Commerce Department's latest report on consumer income & spending indicated that times were never worse than in 2009. Cutbacks in employment prompted a record 1.4% annual decline (it's never before fallen y/y), though modest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 01 2010

  U.S. Personal Income &Spending In Record Decline Last Year

  The Commerce Department's latest report on consumer income & spending indicated that times were never worse than in 2009. Cutbacks in employment prompted a record 1.4% annual decline (it's never before fallen y/y), though modest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 29 2010

  Michigan Consumer Sentiment Highest in Two Years

  Building on gains earlier in the month consumer sentiment for all of January rose to its highest level since January of 2008. The Reuters/University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for all of January rose to 74.4 from 72.5 in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 29 2010

  U.S. Employment Cost Index Fell To Lowest On Record

  unemployment dragged the y/y change in the Employment Cost Index down to its lowest on record. (The series dates back to 1980). Overall the employment cost index for private industry workers rose 1.2% for the year which ended with a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 29 2010

  U.S. GDP Rise Is The Quickest Since 2003

  The current economic recovery picked up momentum last quarter. Constant dollar GDP rose 5.7% (AR), more-than double the 3Q growth rate and the quickest increase since 3Q 2003. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser 4.6% rise. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 29 2010

  U.S. GDP Rise Is The Quickest Since 2003

  The current economic recovery picked up momentum last quarter. Constant dollar GDP rose 5.7% (AR), more-than double the 3Q growth rate and the quickest increase since 3Q 2003. Consensus expectations had been for a lesser 4.6% rise. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 28 2010

  Chicago Fed Index Slipped

  Forward momentum in the U.S. economy recently stalled. After earlier improvement, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago slipped last month to a reading of -0.61 and remained down from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 28 2010

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Slip

  The Labor Department reported that initial claims for jobless insurance slipped 8,000 to 470,000 following strong increases during the prior two weeks. Despite the earlier increases, claims remained near the lowest level since late [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief