Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 14 2011

  U.S. Retail Sales Post Uneven Gains At Yearend

  The holiday season ended quietly. Retail and food service sales rose 0.6% last month following gains of 0.8% and 1.6% during the prior two months, revised slightly from 0.8% and 1.7%. The rise was slightly short of expectations for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 13 2011

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Climb to Highest Since October

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance jumped last week to 445,000 from 410,000 (initially reported as 409,000). The latest was higher than expectations for 402,000 according to Bloomberg. It also was the highest figure since the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 13 2011

  U.S. Trade Deficit Stays Roughly Stable In November

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit held roughly stable during November at $38.3B versus $38.4B in October, revised from $38.7B. Consensus forecasts had been for $41.0B. Exports gained 0.8% (14.9% y/y) following their 3.0% October jump [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 13 2011

  U.S. PPI Posts Strongest Gain Since 2008

  The U.S. Producer Price Index for finished goods jumped another 1.1% last month after its 0.8% November surge. The rise outpaced Consensus expectations for a 0.8% increase and it pulled the overall gain in prices last year to 4.3%, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 12 2011

  U.S. Budget Deficit Narrows Slightly In Q1 FY'11

  The U.S. Government's budget deficit during the first quarter of FY 2011, beginning last October, totaled $370.8B, according to figures released today by the U.S. Treasury and the Office of Management and Budget. That was slightly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 12 2011

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Increase As Interest Rates Fall

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that overall mortgage applications increased 2.2% last week after a like gain during the week prior. Nevertheless, applications remained near the lowest since 2008. Applications to refinance a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 12 2011

  U.S. Import Prices Again Lifted By Oil

  Higher oil prices continued to push up U.S. import prices. During December, import prices jumped another 1.1% after an upwardly revised 1.5% November increase, initially reported as 1.2%. The increase roughly matched Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 11 2011

  JOLTS: U.S. Job Openings Rate Pulls Back

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the November job openings rate slipped to 2.4% from an unrevised 2.5% during October. These levels remained improved versus the recession [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 11 2011

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Decline As Holiday Spirit Fades

  Consumers seem to have lost their inclination to spend shown during the holiday season. Sales at chain stores fell 3.2% last week and retraced all of the increase during December. January sales began 1.4% below the December average. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 11 2011

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Higher With Crude Oil Costs

  Energy prices continue upward as the economy and the demand for energy products improves. Last week, the pump price for regular gasoline rose another two cents to $3.09 per gallon following the prior week's two cent rise. Prices were [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 11 2011

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Slips in December But Trend Improvement Intact

  Following several months of upward movement, small business optimism slipped last month. Nevertheless, the National Federation of Independent Business indicated that their index of small business optimism, at 92.6 in December versus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 10 2011

  U.S. ISM Composite Index Is Highest Since 2006

  Haver Analytics constructs an ISM Composite Index based on the previously published ISM manufacturing and nonmanufacturing reports. For December, the index rose to 57.1, its highest level since 2006. From September-to-December, the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief