Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 20 2011

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Are Strong Again

  The Conference Board reported that its Index of Leading Economic Indicators rose 1.0% during December after an unrevised 1.1% November gain. The latest level of the index was a record high and the monthly gain exceeded Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 20 2011

  Philadelphia Fed Index Slips M/M But Remains Near High

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank indicated that its January index of regional factory sector activity slipped to 19.3 from a downwardly revised 20.8 in December. Nevertheless, it remained near its highest level since April 2005. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 20 2011

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Jump

  The National Association of Realtors reported that December sales of existing homes jumped 12.3% to 5.280M following an upwardly revised 6.1% November increase. December sales exceeded Consensus expectations for 4.86M. For the full [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 20 2011

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Approach Cycle Low

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell sharply last week. The decline to 404,000 from 441,000 (initially reported as 445,000) was greater than expectations for 425,000 claims, according to Bloomberg. Moreover, the latest decline [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2011

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Slip Further

  Consumers remained in a somber spending mood last week. Sales at chain stores slipped 0.1% after the earlier week's 3.2% decline. The average level was the lowest since last February. During the last ten years there has been a 66% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2011

  U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Rise Further

  Maybe the rate of increase slowed, but the direction of change in energy prices remains the same - higher. Last week, the pump price for regular gasoline rose another penny to $3.10 per gallon following the prior week's two cent rise. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2011

  Winter Weather Wallops U.S. Housing Starts During December

  Severe snow storms just after Christmas dealt another setback to new housing activity last month Total housing starts fell 4.3% in December to 529,000 (AR) units from 553,000 during November, initially reported at 555,000. The latest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 18 2011

  U.S. Home Builders Association Index Is Stable At A Depressed Level

  The National Association of Home Builders reported that their index of housing market activity held at 16 for the third consecutive month; the average for all of 2010. The latest figure remained above the all-time low of 8 reached in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 18 2011

  Empire State Factory Index Improves Further

  The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that its Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions improved to 11.92 following its sharp December recovery to a revised 9.89. The figure roughly equaled Consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 17 2011

  U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Slows

  After several months of strong gain, the rate of business inventory accumulation slowed to 0.2% in November after a 0.8% October increase, initially reported at 0.7%. During the last three months inventories rose at a 9.5% annual rate [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 17 2011

  U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Slows

  After several months of strong gain, the rate of business inventory accumulation slowed to 0.2% in November after a 0.8% October increase, initially reported at 0.7%. During the last three months inventories rose at a 9.5% annual rate [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 14 2011

  Consumer Sentiment Sours A Bit

  Holiday glee toned down in the new year. The mid-January reading on consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan slipped to 72.7 following gains during the prior two months. Nevertheless, the figure remained near its highest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief