Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 10 2003

  Canada Sees Job Increase in September

  Job growth resumed last month in Canada, according to the latest Labor Force Survey, reported today. After slim decreases in July and August, employment posted a 0.3% increase in September. The unemployment rate held steady at 8.0%, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 10 2003

  Producer Prices Up Due To Food Price Surge

  Finished producer prices rose a surprising 0.3% in September. The gain was versus Consensus expectations for a 0.1% uptick. Core producer prices matched expectations for a 0.1% rise. A 1.2% (6.7% y/y) jump in food prices accounted for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 09 2003

  Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Down

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell 23,000 to 382,000 last week. The gain reversed a 19,000 rise the prior week which was revised slightly upward from the initial report. Consensus expectations had been for claims of 395,000. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 08 2003

  Despite Higher Rates Mortgage Applications Rose

  The index of mortgage applications compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association rose 15.6% last week to the highest level since early August. The rise came despite a slight increase in interest rates. Interest rates on a conventional [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 07 2003

  September Chain Store Sales Down Despite Last Week's Surge

  Chain store sales surged 1.3% last week and recovered much of the 2.5% decline during the prior three weeks, according to the BTM-UBSW survey. Despite the late-month recovery, sales for the full month of September fell 0.7% versus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 06 2003

  ECRI Weekly Leading Indicators Signal Above-Trend Economic Growth

  The Weekly Leading Index of the US economy published by the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) slipped in the last full week of September. Despite the dip, the six-month growth rate of the weekly leading index remained strong at [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 03 2003

  U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Rose

  Nonfarm payrolls rose unexpectedly by 57,000 (0.04%) in September. It was the first m/m gain in payrolls since January. The previously reported sharp drop in August payrolls was more than halved to 41,000 but July's decline was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 02 2003

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Rose

  Initial claims for jobless insurance rose 13,000 to 399,000 last week. The gain mostly reversed a 15,000 decline the prior week which was revised shallower from the initial report. Consensus expectations had been for claims of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 01 2003

  ISM Factory Index Down Just A Bit, Orders Rose

  The Purchasing Managers’ Composite Index (PMI) released by the Institute of Supply Management fell in September to 53.7 from 54.7 in August. Before yesterday's release of the weak Chicago PMI report, Consensus expectations were for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 30 2003

  Weekly Chain Store Sales Fell Again

  Chain store sales fell 0.4% last week. It was the third consecutive weekly decline according to the BTM-UBSW survey. The decline in sales followed a huge 1.8% slide the prior week as Hurricane Isabel struck. It pulled the level of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 29 2003

  U.S. After Tax Income Surged Again

  Personal disposable income surged for a second month in August. The 0.9% (5.7% y/y) jump followed a 1.5% gain in July, both spurred by lower personal tax payments. Wages and salaries rose just 0.1% following no change in July. That [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 26 2003

  2Q U.S. GDP Growth Revised Up Again. Profit Surge Lessened But Nonfinancial Profits Raised

  US economic growth was revised up slightly to 3.3% for 2Q03 from 3.1% reported last month and from 2.4% estimated in July. The upward revision beat Consensus expectations for 3.1% growth. Revisions were mostly technical and were the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief