The latest data show the OECD LEIs are truly flat. Most OECD country-level or area LEIs still hover below the neutral position of 100 (with the EMU being the exception). The U.K. and China LEIs, while still below 100, each saw small [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Nov 09 2016OECD Area LEIs Are Flat
- Global| Nov 08 2016
German IP Steps Back in September and Does Not Enjoy the View
To and fro with output gains and losses The nearly 2% step back in German output in September follows an even stronger gain of 3% in August. But that has followed a sizeable drop in July and the see-saw patterned extends farther back. [...]
- Global| Nov 07 2016
Cross Currents for German Orders and Elsewhere
Weakness in September German new orders fell across the board in September. Overall orders fell month-to-month by 0.6% as foreign orders fell by 0.3% and domestic orders fell by 1.1%. Year-over-year trends (see table and chart) show [...]
- Global| Nov 04 2016
Euro Area PPI Falls As Oil Unwinds Again
The euro area PPI fell in September after falling in August; it is now dropping by 1.6% year-over-year in September and logged its smallest drop since November 2014. Prices fell month-to-month in five of 13 of the EU countries in the [...]
- Global| Nov 03 2016
Euro Area Unemployment Rate Stays Stuck at 10%, Its All-Time Low
Unemployment rates in the EMU continue to show more progress than has economic growth. The unemployment rate for all of EU steadied at 8.5% for the second month in a row. The EMU rate stayed at its all-time low of 10% for the third [...]
- Global| Nov 02 2016
Selected Japan Indicators Show Stagnation
With the Bank of Japan holding its fire in its recent meeting, Japan's economy continues to give off very muted signals. Annual growth rates for traditional indicators such as retail sales, industrial production, exports and [...]
- Global| Nov 01 2016
Finalized Manufacturing PMIs Largely Improve in Asia and Elsewhere
Asia area PMIs mostly improved in October as Indonesia and Vietnam were exceptions. The U.K., a Western nation with a finalized PMI, showed a drop off in October. The US (ISM) manufacturing PMI also was announced for October and it [...]
- Global| Oct 31 2016
German Retail Sales Drop Is Largest in Two Years; Meanwhile HICP Pressures Edge Up As EMU-Area Growth Steadies
German retail sales (excluding autos) fell off sharply in September as the largest drop in two years was logged. This came on the same day when EMU-area GDP growth was reported to have steadied on the quarter and amid a rise in [...]
- Global| Oct 28 2016
EU Indices Show Solid Gains in October
The EU Commission monthly indices that chronicle gains in the EU and EMU areas show a rise in the EU area index to 106.9 in October from 105.5 in September. The 1.3% monthly rise is less than last month's 1.6% gain; otherwise it is [...]
- Global| Oct 27 2016
Euro Area Money Supply Crawls Higher
Money supply (M2) growth in the EMU slowed its year-on-year pace to 5% in September from 5.2% in August. After being boosted to a peak year-on-year pace of 6.8% in July 2015, EMU money supply growth has steady decelerated and has been [...]
- Global| Oct 26 2016
German Confidence Expected to Retreat
German consumer confidence for all intents and purposes peaked back in 2015. Then it swooned and recovered in 2016 to recover that peak, but now it is on the decay again. GfK does a look-ahead assessment of German confidence. That [...]
- Global| Oct 25 2016
IFO Advances and Holds the High Ground
The German IFO index made solid gains in October with the all sector index rising to 13.8 from September's 11.9 to stand in the 90.9 percentile of its historic queue of values. All the major early-release IFO gauges stand in the top [...]
- of355Go to 161 page