U.S. Energy Prices Are Mixed
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
- Gasoline prices fall again.
- Crude oil prices increase.
- Natural gas prices continue to decline.
Retail gasoline prices declined in the week ended February 13 to $3.39 per gallon (-2.8% y/y) from $3.44 per gallon in the previous week. Prices remained below the mid-June 2022 peak of $5.01 per gallon but above their late December 2022 low of $3.09. The retail price of diesel fuel fell to $4.44 per gallon (+10.6% y/y) last week from $4.54 per gallon in the previous week. The price reached a recent peak of $5.81 per gallon in the third week of June 2022.
The average price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose to $77.51 per barrel (-14.5% y/y) in the week ended February 10. Its recent high was $120.46 in the second week of June 2022. Yesterday, the price was $80.14 per barrel. The average price of Brent crude oil rose to $83.30 per barrel last week from $81.87 per barrel in the previous week. The price peaked at $127.40 in mid-June of 2022. Yesterday, the price was $85.98 per barrel.
The price of natural gas declined for the eighth consecutive week, falling to $2.34/mmbtu (-44.2% y/y) in the week ended February 10, its lowest level since October 2020. The latest price was down from $6.78/mmbtu in the third week of December. The most recent peak was $9.56/mmbtu in the last week of August. Yesterday, the price was $2.42/mmbtu.
In the four weeks ended February 3, gasoline demand declined 2.8% from a year earlier after having fallen 1.9% y/y in prior week. These declines compare to 15.2% y/y growth at the end of 2021. Demand for all petroleum products fell 8.2% y/y in the latest four weeks in contrast to the 14.4% annual growth at the end of 2021. Crude oil input to refineries fell 2.5% y/y.
Gasoline inventories declined 3.5% y/y in the week ended February 3 while crude oil inventories slumped 17.2% y/y.
Measured in days’ supply, gasoline inventories in the week ended February 3 fell w/w to 28.9 days from 29.1 days in the previous week. The supply of crude oil eased to 30.2 days from 30.5 days in the prior week.
These data are reported by the Energy Information Administration of the U.S. Department of Energy. The price data can be found in Haver’s WEEKLY and DAILY databases. Greater detail on prices, as well as the demand, production and inventory data are in USENERGY.
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
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