Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Nov 14 2013

U.S. Worker Productivity Growth is Steady

Summary

Nonfarm business sector productivity matched expectations and grew 1.9% last quarter, roughly the same as during Q2, revised up from no-change. Over the past year, however, worker productivity has been unchanged. Output rose 3.7% last [...]


Nonfarm business sector productivity matched expectations and grew 1.9% last quarter, roughly the same as during Q2, revised up from no-change. Over the past year, however, worker productivity has been unchanged. Output rose 3.7% last quarter (1.8% y/y) and hours worked increased 1.7% (1.8% y/y). Compensation rose 1.3% (1.9% y/y) but when adjusted for price inflation it declined 1.3% in Q3 (+ 0.3% y/y). Unit labor costs fell 0.6% (+1.9% y/y).

In the factory sector, worker productivity nudged up at a 0.4% annual rate (2.3% y/y). Output rose 1.3% (2.3% y/y) while hours worked gained 0.8% (0.1% y/y). Worker compensation firmed at a 1.7% rate (2.3% y/y). Adjusted for price inflation, compensation fell at a 0.9% rate but it was up 0.7% y/y. Unit labor costs increased at a 1.3% rate (0.0% y/y) in Q3, still recovering from the 4.3% Q1 decline.

The productivity & cost figures are available in Haver's USECON database. 

Productivity & Costs (SAAR,%) Q3'13 Q2'13 Q1'13 Q3 Y/Y 2012 2011 2010
Nonfarm Business Sector
Output per Hour (Productivity) 1.9 1.8 -1.7 0.0 1.5 0.5 3.2
Compensation per Hour 1.3 2.3 -5.9 1.9 2.6 2.5 2.1
Unit Labor Costs -0.6 0.5 -3.5 1.9 1.2 2.0 -1.2
Manufacturing Sector
Output per Hour 0.4 2.7 3.9 2.3 1.8 1.0 6.3
Compensation per Hour 1.7 4.2 -0.9 2.3 1.9 1.3 2.4
Unit Labor Costs 1.3 1.5 -4.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 -3.7
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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