Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Aug 09 2017

U.S. Wholesale Inventories & Sales Rise

Summary

Inventories at the wholesale level increased 0.7% during June following a 0.6% May rise, revised from 0.4%. Inventories rose a moderate 2.9% y/y. The latest gain was the strongest in six months. Durable goods inventories increased [...]


Inventories at the wholesale level increased 0.7% during June following a 0.6% May rise, revised from 0.4%. Inventories rose a moderate 2.9% y/y. The latest gain was the strongest in six months.

Durable goods inventories increased 0.5% (3.6% y/y) following a 0.6% rise. Motor vehicle inventories strengthened 1.4% (4.4% y/y), while furniture inventories gained 0.6% (5.9% y/y). Inventories of computers and peripherals jumped 1.7% (15.2% y/y), while machinery inventories rose 0.5% (-1.6% y/y) following a 0.6% rise. Inventories of nondurable goods increased 1.0% (1.6% y/y), following a 0.6% rise. The value of petroleum inventories declined 5.2% (+4.6% y/y) with lower prices. Chemical inventories improved 0.6% (2.2% y/y). Apparel inventories rose 0.2% (-8.4% y/y) for the second straight month, while paper and paper product stockpiles rose a steady 0.6% (1.9% y/y).

Wholesale sales also increased 0.7% (5.6% y/y) after a 0.1% May slip, revised from -0.5%. A 0.1% rise was expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey.

Nondurable goods sales jumped 1.4% (5.1% y/y) as petroleum sales gained 1.9% (11.0% y/y). Chemical sales fell 1.9% (+3.2% y/y). Apparel sales declined 1.3% (-8.1% y/y) after a 4.2% jump. Sales of paper products rose 0.8% (4.7% y/y) while grocery product sales increased 0.8% (5.0% y/y). Sales by durable goods wholesalers held steady (+5.8% y/y). Computer sales declined 1.2% (+2.3% y/y), and machinery sales fell 0.8% (+2.2% y/y). Electrical equipment sales strengthened 1.3% (7.1% y/y) while motor vehicle distributors' sales slipped 0.5% (+9.6% y/y). Furniture sales were off 1.4% (-1.1% y/y).

The wholesalers' inventory-to-sales ratio rose to 1.29 but fell sharply from 1.32 twelve months earlier.

The durable goods I/S ratio of 1.62 compared to the 1.74 high in January 2016. The machinery I/S ratio of 2.89 was reduced from 3.00 a year earlier. The motor vehicles ratio of 1.79 declined y/y from 1.88. The furniture I/S ratio of 1.70 was up y/y from 1.59, while the metals ratio held steady at 2.00. The I/S ratio of 0.89 in computers and equipment was up y/y from 0.79. In the nondurable goods sector, the I/S ratio of 0.97 was down from 1.00 a year ago. The petroleum industry ratio of 0.41 compared to 0.44 one year earlier. The ratio in the chemical sector of 1.19 compared y/y to 1.20, and the ratio in the apparel sector was a steady 2.11.

The wholesale trade figures are available in Haver's USECON database. The Action Economic Survey results are contained in AS1REPNA.

Wholesale Sector - NAICS Classification (%) Jun May Apr Jun Y/Y 2016 2015 2014
Inventories 0.7 0.6 -0.4 2.9 2.6 1.1 5.8
Sales 0.7 -0.1 -0.3 5.6 -0.5 -4.9 3.6
I/S Ratio 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.32 (June '16) 1.33 1.32 1.21
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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