Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Aug 01 2013

U.S. Vehicle Sales Remain Firm

Summary

Sales of light vehicles remain on a firm footing. Unit sales of light motor vehicles slipped 1.8% during July versus June to 15.67 million (SAAR) according to the Autodata Corporation. Despite the dip, sales remained up 11.2% from [...]


Sales of light vehicles remain on a firm footing. Unit sales of light motor vehicles slipped 1.8% during July versus June to 15.67 million (SAAR) according to the Autodata Corporation. Despite the dip, sales remained up 11.2% from July of last year and were nearly their strongest since December 2007.

Auto sales dipped 1.0% m/m (+10.4% y/y) to 7.88 million last month. Domestic car sales fell 2.1% to 5.59 million (+11.6% y/y) but sales of imports rose 1.9% (7.7% y/y) to 2.29 million. Light truck sales declined 2.7% (+12.1% y/y) in July to 7.79 million. Domestic light truck sales fell 2.9% (+10.3% y/y) to 6.64 million. Sales of imported light trucks fell 1.3% month-to-month (+23.1% y/y) to 1.15 million.  

Imports' share of the U.S. light vehicle market improved slightly to 21.9% in July. (Imported vehicles are those produced outside the United States.) That share remained down from its peak of 29.9% in Q1'09. The lower foreign exchange value of the dollar played a role as it made imports relatively more expensive. Imports' share of the U.S. car market recovered m/m to 29.0% but remained down from its 37.8% monthly peak in 2010. Imports' share of the light truck market was fairly stable at 14.8% last month but remained down from its 23.9% peak in early 2009.

Economy to cruise at speed limit in 2013 and accelerate slightly in 2014 from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago can be found here.

U.S. vehicle sales figures can be found in Haver's USECON database.  

Light Vehicle Sales (SAAR, Mil. Units) Jul Jun May Y/Y % 2012 2011 2010
Total 15.67 15.96 15.31 11.2 14.48 12.78 11.59
 Autos 7.88 7.95 7.42 10.4 7.43 6.23 5.77
  Domestic 5.59 5.71 5.26 11.6 5.10 4.21 3.76
  Imported 2.29 2.24 2.16 7.7 2.33 2.02 2.01
 Light Trucks 7.79 8.01 7.89 12.1 7.05 6.55 5.82
  Domestic 6.64 6.84 6.79 10.3 6.08 5.55 4.86
  Imported 1.15 1.17 1.10 23.1 0.97 1.00 0.96
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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