
U.S. Vehicle Sales Led Higher By Truck Rebound
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
US sales of light vehicles in June recovered all of recent months' weakness and rose to the highest level in nearly four years, according to the Autodata Corporation. At 17.53M, sales rose 5.2% from May and rose 13.8% versus a [...]
US sales of light vehicles in June recovered all of recent months' weakness and rose to the highest level in nearly four years, according to the Autodata Corporation. At 17.53M, sales rose 5.2% from May and rose 13.8% versus a depressed level one year ago.
Sales of light trucks surged 11.9% m/m to the highest level since 2001. The gain lifted the average level of truck sales so far this year 1.6% versus the first six months of 2004. Sales of US made trucks were notably strong, rising 13.2% m/m and 25.1% y/y. Domestics account for 88% of total light truck sales in the US.
Despite the drag on truck sales from higher gasoline prices, Bureau of Labor Statistics' data indicates that truck prices firmed this year through May versus deflation from 2002 to 2004. Gasoline prices rose to an average $2.22 per gallon (15.3% y/y) during the latest week.
Car sales fell for the second consecutive month in June and for the fourth month this year. The 2.9% m/m decline left the average level of car sales 1.6% above last year.
Imports' share of the US market for new vehicles fell sharply to 19.6% in June versus 20.2 during the first five months of 2005.
Light Vehicle Sales (SAAR, Mil. Units) | June | May | Y/Y | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | 17.53 | 16.67 | 13.8% | 16.88 | 16.63 | 16.81 |
Autos | 7.31 | 7.53 | 3.9% | 7.49 | 7.62 | 8.07 |
Trucks | 10.22 | 9.14 | 22.1% | 9.39 | 9.01 | 8.74 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.