Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Jan 28 2015

U.S. State Unemployment Rates Fall To New Lows

Summary

The overall U.S. unemployment rate in December of 5.6% stood at its six-year low and remained down from 10.0% at the late-2009 peak. Variation in the level of unemployment amongst individual states continues, but a declining trend is [...]


The overall U.S. unemployment rate in December of 5.6% stood at its six-year low and remained down from 10.0% at the late-2009 peak. Variation in the level of unemployment amongst individual states continues, but a declining trend is evident almost everywhere. Louisiana (6.7%), South Carolina (6.5%), Washington (6.3), Vermont (4.2%) and North Dakota (2.8%), however, are notable examples where unemployment recently moved higher. Louisiana's unemployment rate, in fact, is up two percentage points since April. Mississippi's jobless rate of 7.2% was the country's highest, though it was down from 11.0% reached in early-2011. California's 7.0% also was comparatively high, but it was below the 2010 peak of 12.4%. Unemployment in Georgia remained elevated at 6.9%, but that too was below the 10.4% peak in early-2010. In Tennessee, last month's 6.6% rate neared its earlier low after backing up to 7.4% in August. Both rates compare favorably to the 2009 high of 11.0%. New York's unemployment rate of 5.8% compared to the 2009 peak of 8.9% and its rate of decline recently accelerated. The jobless rate in Texas was down to 4.6% from its 2010 high of 8.3%.

Amongst mid-sized states, Michigan's jobless rate fell to 6.3% after hovering near 7.5% this spring and summer. It's less than half the 14.2% peak in 2009. Florida's 5.6% rate of joblessness was a new low and compared to 11.4% at the 2009 peak. In Virginia, the jobless rate returned to 4.8% last month after backing up to 5.5% this summer. It was below the 7.4% peak reached late in 2009. Amongst smaller states, North Dakota's 2.8% unemployment rate was the country's lowest but up from its recent low of 2.5%. Connecticut saw its rate move downward to 6.4% from a 9.5% high. Nebraska's rate fell sharply to a new low of 2.9% versus its 4.9% peak early in 2010.

The unemployment rate figures in individual metropolitan areas, for the most part, continued to differ widely from the state numbers. Florida's 5.6% unemployment rate was below the 6.7% rate in the Miami metro area, and both were roughly half the 2010 figure. Michigan's 6.3% unemployment rate also was under the 7.5% figure around Detroit and both rates recently fell sharply. In 2009, Detroit's rate reached 16.0%. New York state's 5.8% unemployment rate was below the sharply reduced 6.3% in New York City while California's 7.0% rate was under the 7.9% around Los Angeles. Also, Ohio's 4.8% rate was well below Cleveland's of 5.9%. Working the other way, the Illinois unemployment rate of 6.2% was above the sharply reduced 5.9% around Chicago. Finally, Washington state's 6.3% jobless rate recently moved higher and exceeded Seattle's 4.6%, a new low.

State unemployment figures are available in Haver's EMPLR database.

Dec Nov 2014 2013 2012 2011 Labor Force

Total U.S. Unemployment Rate

5.6% 5.8% 6.1% 7.4% 8.1% 8.9% 155.7 million

Ten States With Highest Jobless Rate

  Mississippi 7.2 7.3 7.6 8.6 9.2 10.6 1.3
  California 7.0 7.2 7.6 8.9 10.4 11.8 18.6
  Georgia 6.9 7.2 7.4 8.2 9.0 9.9 4.8
  Nevada 6.8 6.9 7.7 9.8 11.5 13.3 1.4
  Tennessee 6.6 6.8 6.9 8.2 8.2 9.3 3.1
  Michigan 6.3 6.7 7.3 8.8 9.1 10.4 4.7
  Illinois 6.2 6.4 7.3 9.1 9.0 9.7 9.6
  New Jersey 6.2 6.4 6.7 8.2 9.3 9.3 4.6
  New York 5.8 5.9 6.5 7.7 8.5 8.3 9.6
  North Carolina 5.5 5.9 6.3 8.0 9.3 10.2 4.7
Ten States With Lowest Jobless Rate          
  Virginia 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.5 5.9 6.5 4.2 million
  Wyoming 4.2 4.5 4.3 4.6 5.4 6.1 0.3
  Vermont 4.2 4.4 3.9 4.3 4.9 5.6 0.4
  Iowa 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.7 5.2 5.8 1.6
  New Hampshire 4.0 4.1 4.4 5.3 5.5 5.5 0.7
  Hawaii 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.8 5.7 6.5 0.7
  Minnesota 3.6 3.7 4.4 5.0 5.6 6.5 3.0
  Utah 3.5 3.6 3.7 4.4 5.4 6.8 1.4
  Nebraska 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.0 4.5 1.0
  North Dakota 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.4 0.4
Jobless Rate In Other Selected Large States          
  Louisiana 6.7 6.5 5.4 6.1 6.5 7.2 2.1 million
  Arizona 6.7 6.8 7.0 8.0 8.3 9.4 3.0
  Connecticut 6.4 6.5 6.7 7.8 8.3 8.9 1.8
  Washington 6.3 6.2 6.0 7.0 8.1 9.2 3.5
  New York 5.8 5.9 6.5 7.7 8.5 8.3 9.6
  Florida 5.6 5.8 6.1 7.2 8.8 10.3 9.4
  Massachusetts 5.5 5.8 6.0 7.1 6.8 7.3 3.5
  Wisconsin 5.2 5.2 5.7 6.7 6.9 7.5 3.1
  Ohio 4.8 5.0 5.7 7.3 7.4 8.7 5.7
  Texas 4.6 4.9 5.2 6.3 6.9 7.9 12.8
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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