Global| May 30 2012U.S. Pending Home Sales Reverse Earlier Gains
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending sales of single-family homes during April slumped 5.5% (+14.4% y/y) to their lowest level since December. The sales index level of 95.5 was down 5.5% m/m after three [...]
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending
sales of single-family homes during April slumped 5.5% (+14.4% y/y)
to their lowest level since December. The sales index level
of 95.5 was down 5.5% m/m after three months of moderate increase.
Sales were down 25% versus the April 2005 peak.
Sales fell last month most notably by 12.0% (+5.1% y/y) in the West followed by a 6.8% decline (+13.3% y/y) in the South. In the Midwest sales slipped 0.3% (+23.0% y/y) but they inched up 0.9% (19.9% y/y) in the Northeast.
Pending home sales figures are analogous to the new home sales data from the Commerce Department in that they measure existing home sales when the sales contract is signed, not at the time the sale is closed. The series dates back to 2001 and the data are available in Haver's PREALTOR database.
| Pending Home Sales (2001=100) | Apr | Mar | Feb | Y/Y % | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 95.5 | 101.1 | 97.4 | 14.4 | 90.3 | 89.2 | 94.7 |
| Northeast | 78.9 | 78.2 | 78.8 | 19.9 | 68.0 | 70.9 | 76.8 |
| Midwest | 93.0 | 93.3 | 94.1 | 23.0 | 81.6 | 79.9 | 88.9 |
| South | 105.7 | 113.4 | 107.7 | 13.3 | 98.3 | 97.0 | 98.4 |
| West | 94.9 | 107.8 | 99.4 | 5.1 | 104.2 | 100.8 | 109.2 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
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