Global| Jul 26 2012U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
Pending sales of single-family homes fell 1.4% last month after a little revised 5.4% May rise, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Sales have risen nearly one-third versus the 2010 low. Nevertheless, the sales [...]
Pending sales of single-family homes fell 1.4% last month after a little revised 5.4% May rise, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Sales have risen nearly one-third versus the 2010 low. Nevertheless, the sales index of 99.3 was down 21.8% versus the April 2005 peak.
Sales fell last month across most of the country led by a 7.6% decline (+12.2% y/y) in the Northeast followed by a 2.0% fall (+8.8% y/y) in the South. Sales also slipped 0.4% (+17.3% y/y) in the Midwest but gained 2.6% (3.0% y/y) in the West.
Pending home sales figures are analogous to the new home sales data from the Commerce Department in that they measure existing home sales when the sales contract is signed, not at the time the sale is closed. The series dates back to 2001 and the data are available in Haver's PREALTOR database.
How Big is the Output Gap? from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta can be found here.
| Pending Home Sales (2001=100) | Jun | May | Apr | Y/Y% | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 99.3 | 100.7 | 95.5 | 9.5 | 90.3 | 89.2 | 94.7 |
| Northeast | 76.6 | 82.9 | 79.1 | 12.2 | 68.0 | 70.9 | 76.8 |
| Midwest | 94.4 | 94.8 | 93.0 | 17.3 | 81.6 | 79.9 | 88.9 |
| South | 106.2 | 108.4 | 105.7 | 8.8 | 98.3 | 97.0 | 98.4 |
| West | 111.5 | 108.7 | 94.9 | 3.0 | 104.2 | 100.8 | 109.2 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
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