Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Dec 06 2013

U.S. Payroll Employment Gain Steady; Unemployment Rate Lowest Since 2008

Summary

Job market improvement remains on a steady, if moderate, growth track. Nonfarm payroll employment grew 203,000 (1.7% y/y) during November following slightly revised gains of 200,000 and 175,000 during the prior two months. The rise [...]


Job market improvement remains on a steady, if moderate, growth track. Nonfarm payroll employment grew 203,000 (1.7% y/y) during November following slightly revised gains of 200,000 and 175,000 during the prior two months. The rise beat consensus expectations for 180,000 growth. The unemployment rate fell to 7.0%, the lowest since November 2008. Expectations were for 7.2%. The total jobless rate, including workers who are marginally attached and part-time for economic reasons dropped to 13.2%, also the lowest since November 2008.    

The figures referenced above are available in Haver's USECON database. Additional detail can be found in the LABOR and in the EMPL databases. The expectation figures are from Action Economics and are in the AS1REPNA database.

Employment: (M/M Chg., 000s) Nov Oct Sep Y/Y 2012 2011 2010
Payroll Employment 203 200 175 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% -0.7%
 Previous -- 204 163 -- 1.4 1.2 -0.7
 Manufacturing 27 16 8 0.6 1.7 1.7 -2.7
 Construction 17 12 17 3.1 2.0 0.3 -8.3
 Private Service Producing 152 183 139 2.2 2.2 1.9 -0.1
 Government 7 -14 7 -0.1 -0.8 -1.8 -0.3
Average Weekly Hours - Private Sector 34.5 34.4 34.4 34.
(Nov'12)
34.4 34.4 34.1
Average Private Sector Hourly Earnings (%) 0.2 0.1 0.2 2.0 1.9 2.0 1.8
Unemployment Rate (%) 7.0 7.3 7.2 7.8
(Nov'12)
8.1 8.9 9.6
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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