
U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Returns to Earlier High
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its August Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the job openings rate rose to 2.8%, up from July but about where it's been all year. The job openings rate is the number of job [...]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its August Job Openings
& Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the job openings rate rose to 2.8%,
up from July but about where it's been all year. The job openings rate
is the number of job openings on the last business day of the month as a
percent of total employment plus job openings. The actual number of
job openings rose 6.9% y/y to 3.883 million.
The private-sector job openings rate increased to 3.0% from an upwardly-revised 2.9% in July. The rate in education & health services jumped to a new cycle-high of 3.5%. Also, the rate in leisure & hospitality businesses rose to a new high of 3.5% while the rate in manufacturing moved up to 2.2%, recovering from the 1.7% low in June. The rate in professional & business services businesses also held at 3.5%, about where it's been all year. That's down, however, from the 4.2% high early last year. In the government sector, the job openings rate dropped sharply to 1.6%, its lowest level since April of last year.
The hires rate was steady at 3.3%, but July was revised up. The hires rate is the number of hires during the month divided by employment. The hires rate in the private sector held at 3.7%, near the high end of its recent range. The hires rate of 5.3% in leisure & hospitality remained down from its March '12 high of 5.9%. Also the, relatively high 5.1% in construction was well below the 6.5% rates common early in 2011. The hiring rate of 4.4% in retail trade was near the high for the economic expansion while hiring rate in education & health services rebounded to 2.7%. In the factory sector, the rate was stable m/m at a low 1.9%, down sharply from the 2012 high of 2.4%. The government's hires rate was stable at 1.3%.
The number of hires slipped 0.2% m/m in August but were 1.9% higher than last year. This represents, however, lost momentum versus the roughly 7.0% gains realized early last year. Private sector hires advanced 2.7% y/y, down from the roughly 7.0% growth early last year. Hiring in retail trade advanced 13.7% y/y while in education & health services it grew 11.1%. On the weak side was hiring in professional & business services, up 2.9% y/y. To the downside by 2.5% y/y were hires in leisure & hospitality. Also falling by 8.7% y/y was government sector hiring.
The job separations rate rose to 3.2% during August as the actual number of separations notched up 0.8% y/y. Separations include quits, layoffs, discharges, and other separations as well as retirements. The layoff & discharge rate was 1.2% in August and remained near the series low. That's versus a recession peak of 2.0% in early 2009. The private sector layoff rate notched up to 1.4% while the government's rate held at 0.4%.
The JOLTS survey dates only to December 2000 and the figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey, SA) | Aug | Jul | Jun | Aug'12 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Job Openings, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
Total (000s) | 3,883 | 3,808 | 3,869 | 3,632 | 3,612 | 3,384 | 2,930 |
Hires, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 38.9 | 37.7 | 37.4 |
Total (000s) | 4,488 | 4,497 | 4,318 | 4,405 | 51,946 | 49,644 | 48,637 |
Layoffs & Discharges, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 15.4 | 15.4 | 16.8 |
Total (000s) | 1,648 | 1,589 | 1,602 | 1,859 | 20,670 | 20,320 | 21,747 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.