
U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Perks Up
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the job openings rate improved to 2.9% during February versus a downwardly revised 2.7% in January. The latest level reached the high for [...]
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the job openings rate improved to 2.9% during February versus a downwardly revised 2.7% in January. The latest level reached the high for the economic expansion. The job openings rate is the number of job openings on the last business day of the month as a percent of total employment plus job openings. The actual number of job openings rose 3.9% y/y to 4.173 million.
The private-sector job openings rate jumped to 3.2%, its highest level of the economic recovery and up from the recession low of 1.7%. The rate in professional & business services surged to 4.1%, near the recovery high of 4.3%. The rate in leisure & hospitality businesses slipped to 3.9%. In the health care & social assistance sector, the job openings rate held at a higher 3.4%. The rate in construction was steady at 2.0%, down from the 2.7% high three months ago. In manufacturing it declined to 2.0%, the lowest level since July. Still lagging was the job openings rate in the government sector where it held m/m at a low 1.8%.
The hires rate held at 3.3% for the fifth straight month but was below its expansion high of 3.4% in September. The hires rate is the number of hires during the month divided by employment. The private sector hires rate remained at 3.7% for the fifth consecutive month. Amongst leisure & hospitality firms it rose to 5.7%. In construction, the hires rate slipped to 4.4% and remained below the 6.9% rates in early 2011. The hires rate in retail trade recovered to 4.4% while in education & health services it slipped to 2.5%. In the factory sector, the hires rate slipped m/m to 1.9% and remained down from the 2.5% high in late 2010. The government sector hires rate notched up to a low 1.4%.
The number of hires rebounded 1.6% m/m but were only 0.8% higher y/y. Private sector hires increased 1.3% y/y as hiring in professional & business services surged 14.8% y/y. New retail trade increased 3.1% y/y while leisure & hospitality jobs increased 3.1%. Education & health services jobs edged 0.4% higher y/y but new hires in construction were off 28.0% y/y. Government sector hiring declined 5.4% y/y and new factory sector jobs fell 2.9% y/y.
The job separations rate held at 3.2% but the actual number of separations rose 4.1% y/y. Separations include quits, layoffs, discharges, and other separations as well as retirements. The private sector separations rate slipped to 3.5% and the government sector's rate was stable at 1.4%. The layoff & discharge rate held at 1.2% for the third straight month but was up from the recovery low of 1.1%. The private sector layoff rate fell m/m to 1.3% and the government's rate slipped to 0.4%.
The JOLTS survey dates to December 2000 and the figures are available in Haver's USECON database.
JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey, SA) | Feb | Jan | Dec | Feb'13 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Job Openings, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
Total (000s) | 4,173 | 3,874 | 3,914 | 4,015 | 3,914 | 3,646 | 3,538 |
Hires, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 39.6 | 38.8 | 38.1 |
Total (000s) | 4,587 | 4,516 | 4,578 | 4,551 | 54,139 | 52,391 | 50,264 |
Layoffs & Discharges, Total | |||||||
Rate (%) | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 14.6 | 15.5 | 15.7 |
Total (000s) | 1,619 | 1,703 | 1,702 | 1,618 | 20,006 | 20,979 | 20,735 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.